Uncertainty analysis of SMART2-SUMO2-P2E-MOVE4 : the nature planner soil and vegetation model chain

G.W.W. Wamelink, L.M.W. Akkermans, D.J. Brus, G.B.M. Heuvelink, J.P. Mol, E.P.A.G. Schouwenberg

Research output: Book/ReportReportProfessional

Abstract

Models and model chains can provide a powerful tool to evaluate government policies regarding, e.g., nitrogen deposition or climate change. Since decisions based on model simulations can have a major impact on society, it is important to know the accuracy and uncertainty of the model simulations. This report offers an account of the uncertainty in the heart of the model chain of ‘Nature Planner’. This chain consists of a soil model (SMART2), a vegetation succession model (SUMO2) and a plant species prediction model (MOVE4). Uncertainty was introduced in the most important model parameters, as well as two important input maps; a soil map and a groundwater map.
Original languageEnglish
Place of PublicationWageningen
PublisherWettelijke Onderzoekstaken Natuur & Milieu
Publication statusPublished - 2011

Publication series

NameWOt-rapport
PublisherWettelijke Onderzoekstaken Natuur & Milieu
No.108
ISSN (Print)1871-028X

Keywords

  • soil water
  • vegetation
  • simulation models
  • uncertainty analysis
  • soil suitability
  • nature management

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