The effects of Vietnamese rice export policies on world market integration

J. Luckmann, R. Ihle, U. Kleinwechter, H. Grethe

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference paperAcademicpeer-review

Abstract

World market prices of rice have been subject to large fluctuations in recent years. Vietnam is a major exporter of rice which is also the main staple food in the country. The Vietnamese government is limiting exports, to insulate domestic consumers from world market price hikes. The effects of these policy interventions on price transmission are investigated in this study. We analyze the marketing chain of rice in Vietnam and construct a multivariate Vector Error Correction Model for markets across the country and include a policy parameter and an international reference price. We find reasonable cointegration of most markets analyzed and only a limited effect of the applied export policies: they suppressed the price in the main producing region, but did not significantly affect the prices in main deficit region. Thus food security programs directly targeting poor consumers are likely to be more efficient to improve food security.
URI: http://purl.umn.edu/212159
Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationProceedings of the IAAE 2015 Agriculture in an interconnected world
Number of pages27
Publication statusPublished - 2015
EventIAAE 2015 Agriculture in an interconnected world - Milan, Italy
Duration: 8 Aug 201514 Aug 2015

Conference

ConferenceIAAE 2015 Agriculture in an interconnected world
Country/TerritoryItaly
CityMilan
Period8/08/1514/08/15

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