Spread and Control of Rift Valley Fever virus after accidental introduction in the Netherlands: a modelling study.

E.A.J. Fischer, G.J. Boender, A.A. de Koeijer, G. Nodelijk, H.J.W. van Roermund

Research output: Book/ReportReportProfessional

Abstract

Rift Valley Fever (RVF) is a zoonotic vector-borne infection and causes a potentially severe disease in both humans and young animals. The Ministry of Economic Affairs, Agriculture and Innovation (EL&I) is interested in the risk of an outbreak of Rift Valley Fever virus (RVFV) for the Netherlands, and more knowledge is needed about the risk of introduction of the virus, the risk of spread (transmission) of the virus in the country once introduced, and the methods for control and surveillance. For this purpose, a mathematical model was developed to study (1) the probability of a RVF outbreak at different days of introduction during the year, (2) the probability of persistence of the infection during the entire year, and (3) outbreak size and duration at different days of introduction during the year.
Original languageEnglish
Place of PublicationLelystad
PublisherCVI
Number of pages59
Publication statusPublished - 2011

Keywords

  • livestock farming
  • rift valley fever virus
  • viral diseases
  • cattle diseases
  • sheep diseases
  • goat diseases
  • mathematical models
  • outbreaks
  • probability analysis

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