Scenarios: Driving forces and policies

T. Kuhlman

    Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingChapterAcademicpeer-review

    18 Citations (Scopus)

    Abstract

    Modelling the impact of policies is possible only if these policies themselves are defined to some extent. Therefore, potential policies affecting multifunctional land use are grouped into policy cases around a number of central themes. However, a counterfactual is needed in order to know what the situation in the target year would be in the absence of policy change. Several approaches to designing scenarios for this counterfactual are discussed, and the chosen approach is elaborated into a description of baseline scenarios to be used in the project.
    Original languageEnglish
    Title of host publicationSustainability Impact Assessment of Land Use Changes
    Place of PublicationBerlin
    PublisherSpringer
    Pages131-157
    ISBN (Electronic)9783540786481
    ISBN (Print)9783540786474
    DOIs
    Publication statusPublished - 2008

    Keywords

    • bio-energy
    • driving force
    • macro-economic projections
    • population projections
    • scenario

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