Rural Poverty Dynamics in Kenya: Structural Declines and Stochastic Escapes

M.A.O. Radeny, M.M. van den Berg, R.A. Schipper

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

15 Citations (Scopus)


We use panel survey data and household event-histories to explore patterns of rural poverty dynamics in Kenya over the period 2000–2009. We find substantial mobility across poverty categories using economic transition matrices. Drawing on asset-based approaches, we distinguish stochastic from structural poverty transitions. Few households successfully escaped poverty through asset accumulation (up to 35% of the upwardly mobile), while a large proportion of households (up to 66%) declining into poverty experienced structural transitions. Using household event-histories, we find significant differences across structural poverty transition classes in livelihood strategies, household-level shocks, and other factors.
Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)1577-1593
JournalWorld Development
Issue number8
Publication statusPublished - 2012


  • south-africa
  • household poverty
  • 36 villages
  • poor
  • countries
  • growth
  • uganda
  • traps
  • india
  • time

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