REDD policy impacts on the agri-food sector and food security

A.A. Tabeau, J.C.M. van Meijl, K.P. Overmars, Elke Stehfest

Research output: Contribution to conferenceConference paper

Abstract

The REDD policy which preserves, enables substantial emission reductions. Since agricultural production and area expansion is a primary driver of tropical deforestation, REDD policies might limit the expansion possibilities of agricultural land use and therefore influence competitiveness, agricultural prices, trade, production and food security the world. This paper studies the impact of REDD policies on the agri-food sector and food security with a global CGE model called MAGNET. It focuses on the restrictions on agricultural land expansion within the REDD policy package. Simulation results show that REDD policies start to affect the agri-food sector in some lower developed countries if more than 15% of potentially available agricultural areas are protected from deforestation. A stringent REDD policy that protects 90% of land reserves that could potentially be used for agriculture production results in a global real agricultural price increase of almost 6%, and a worldwide agricultural production decrease of 1.5%.
Original languageEnglish
Number of pages29
Publication statusPublished - 2015
EventInternational Association of Agricultural Economists 2015 Conference - Milan, Italy
Duration: 9 Aug 201514 Aug 2015

Conference

ConferenceInternational Association of Agricultural Economists 2015 Conference
CountryItaly
CityMilan
Period9/08/1514/08/15

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