Projections of long-term food security with R&D driven technical change-A CGE analysis

Z. Smeets Kristkova*, Michiel van Dijk, H. van Meijl

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

8 Citations (Scopus)


In this paper, the impact of public R&D investment on agricultural productivity and long-term food security via R&D driven endogenous technical change is analysed. The findings show that R&D growth rates at the level reached in 2000s, particularly those for China, would not be expected any longer. Concerning the impact of projected R&D investments on agricultural productivity, it is found that endogenous growth rates of land-augmenting technical change are comparably lower than the standard exogenous rates used in long term projections of agri-food markets. This suggests that public R&D investments are not able to stimulate agricultural production to the levels that would be expected from the standard baseline outcomes.

Original languageEnglish
Article number77
Pages (from-to)39-51
JournalNJAS Wageningen Journal of Life Sciences
Publication statusPublished - 2016


  • Agricultural productivity
  • CGE model
  • D investments
  • Food security
  • Land-augmenting technical change
  • Magnet
  • Public agricultural R&amp

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