Multi-scale Modelling of Adapting European Farming Systems

Martin Banse, R.P. Rötter, H. Lehtonen, P. Reidsma, M. Schönhart, Martin Köchy, A. Zimmermann

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference paper

Abstract

European farming systems are challenged by an increasing global population, income growth, dietary changes and last, but not least, by a changing climate threatening future harvests, especially through increased frequency and severity of extreme events such as drought and heat waves. Therefore, there is a clear need to sustainably intensify and effectively adapt Agricultural systems to climate change. Yet, increase in food production and adaptation are just two of many claims on agriculture, which is also supposed to meet growing demands on feed, fibre and fuel and to play a key role in mitigating climate change. The multiple claims on ecosystem services expected from agri-ecological systems call for an integrated assessment and modelling (IAM) of agricultural systems to adequately evaluate the multiple dimensions of the potential impacts as
well as promising adaptation and mitigation options. This includes agriculture’s responses to global change in the context of other sustainability aspects. Biophysical and socioeconomic analyses need to be integrated across different disciplines and spatiotemporal scales. In recent years the agricultural systems modelling community has made great efforts to use harmonized climate change, socio-economic and agricultural development scenarios and run them through
a chain of models, e.g. by selected ensembles of biophysical and economic models at multiple scales, from farm to global. In phase 2 (2015-17) the European MACSUR knowledge hub has put its main focus on the regional (sub-national) level in the EU, with due consideration of the whole farm context.
Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationBook of abstracts
Subtitle of host publicationMACSUR2017 Scientific Conference, 22-24 May, 2017, Berlin
Pages4-5
Number of pages2
Publication statusPublished - 2017
EventMACSUR Science Conference 2017 - Humboldt Universität, Berlin, Germany
Duration: 22 May 201724 May 2017

Conference

ConferenceMACSUR Science Conference 2017
CountryGermany
CityBerlin
Period22/05/1724/05/17

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