Local ecosystem feedbacks and critical transitions in the climate

M. Rietkerk; V. Brovkin; P.M. van Bodegom; M. Claussen; S.C. Dekker; H.A. Dijkstra; S.V. Goryachkin; P. Kabat; E.H. van Nes; A.M. Neutel; S.E. Nicholson; C. Nobre; V. Petoukhov; A. Provenzale; M. Scheffer; S.I. Seneviratne

doi:10.5194/bgd-6-10121-2009

Local ecosystem feedbacks and critical transitions in the climate

M. Rietkerk, V. Brovkin, P.M. van Bodegom, M. Claussen, S.C. Dekker, H.A. Dijkstra, S.V. Goryachkin, P. Kabat, E.H. van Nes, A.M. Neutel, S.E. Nicholson, C. Nobre, V. Petoukhov, A. Provenzale, M. Scheffer, S.I. Seneviratne

Research output: Working paper › Preprint

Abstract

Global and regional climate models, such as those used in IPCC assessments, are the best tools available for climate predictions. Such models typically account for large-scale land-atmosphere feedbacks. However, these models omit local vegetationenvironment 5 feedbacks that are crucial for critical transitions in ecosystems. Here, we reveal the hypothesis that, if the balance of feedbacks is positive at all scales, local vegetation-environment feedbacks may trigger a cascade of amplifying effects, propagating from local to large scale, possibly leading to critical transitions in the largescale climate. We call for linking local ecosystem feedbacks with large-scale land10 atmosphere feedbacks in global and regional climate models in order to yield climate predictions that we are more confident about.

Original language	English
Publisher	Copernicus Publications
Pages	10121-10136
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.5194/bgd-6-10121-2009
Publication status	Published - 28 Oct 2009

Publication series

Name	Biogeosciences Discussions
Publisher	European Geosciences Union
No.	2
Volume	6
ISSN (Print)	1810-6277

UN SDGs

This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

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10.5194/bgd-6-10121-2009Licence: CC BY

1 Editorial

Local ecosystem feedbacks and critical transitions in the climate
Rietkerk, M., Brovkin, V., van Bodegom, P. M., Kabat, P. & van Nes, E. H., 2011, In: Ecological Complexity. 8, 3, p. 223-228
Research output: Contribution to journal › Editorial › Academic › peer-review
45 Citations (Scopus)

ESS-CC
Project: Other

Cite this

Rietkerk, M., Brovkin, V., van Bodegom, P. M., Claussen, M., Dekker, S. C., Dijkstra, H. A., Goryachkin, S. V., Kabat, P., van Nes, E. H., Neutel, A. M., Nicholson, S. E., Nobre, C., Petoukhov, V., Provenzale, A., Scheffer, M., & Seneviratne, S. I. (2009). Local ecosystem feedbacks and critical transitions in the climate. (pp. 10121-10136). (Biogeosciences Discussions; Vol. 6, No. 2). Copernicus Publications. https://doi.org/10.5194/bgd-6-10121-2009

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Rietkerk, M, Brovkin, V, van Bodegom, PM, Claussen, M, Dekker, SC, Dijkstra, HA, Goryachkin, SV, Kabat, P , van Nes, EH, Neutel, AM, Nicholson, SE, Nobre, C, Petoukhov, V, Provenzale, A, Scheffer, M & Seneviratne, SI 2009 'Local ecosystem feedbacks and critical transitions in the climate' Biogeosciences Discussions, no. 2, vol. 6, Copernicus Publications, pp. 10121-10136. https://doi.org/10.5194/bgd-6-10121-2009

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BT - Local ecosystem feedbacks and critical transitions in the climate

PB - Copernicus Publications

ER -

Local ecosystem feedbacks and critical transitions in the climate

Abstract

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Local ecosystem feedbacks and critical transitions in the climate

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