Land Use Dynamics, Climate Change, and Food Security in Vietnam: A Global-to-local Modeling Approach

M.M. Rutten, M. van Dijk, W. van Rooij, H. Hilderink

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

37 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

We present an innovative global-to-local modeling approach to analyze impacts of uncertain and complex futures on Vietnam’s economy via changes in land use patterns. Socio-economic changes are shown to have major implications for the Vietnamese landscape, including natural forest losses with negative consequences for biodiversity and greenhouse gas emissions, and losses of paddy rice and other agricultural lands in the Red River Delta and the Mekong River delta. Climate-related flood risks in these areas further threaten the population, economic assets, and food security. The scenarios reveal the importance of investments in agriculture, land markets, and climate change mitigation and adaptation.
Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)29-46
JournalWorld Development
Volume59
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2014

Keywords

  • eu biofuel policies
  • impact
  • scenarios
  • future
  • europe

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