Land use change under conditions of high population pressure : the case of Java

P.H. Verburg, A. Veldkamp, J. Bouma

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

155 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

A long history of increases in population pressure in Java has caused agricultural land use to expand and intensify. More recent land use changes caused the conversion of prime agricultural land into residential and industrial area. Results of a dynamic, regional-scale, land use change model are presented, defining the spatial distribution of these land use changes. The model is based on multi-scale modelling of the relations between land use and socio-economic and biophysical determinants. Historical validation showed that the model can adequately simulate the pattern of land use change. Future patterns of land use change between 1994 and 2010 are simulated assuming further urbanization. The results suggest that most intensive land use changes will occur in Java's lowland areas.
Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)303-312
JournalGlobal environmental change : human and policy dimensions
Volume9
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 1999

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