TY - JOUR
T1 - Integrated modeling of nature's role in human well-being
T2 - A research agenda
AU - Chaplin-Kramer, Rebecca
AU - Polasky, Stephen
AU - Alkemade, Rob
AU - Burgess, Neil D.
AU - Cheung, William W.L.
AU - Fetzer, Ingo
AU - Harfoot, Mike
AU - Hertel, Thomas W.
AU - Hill, Samantha L.L.
AU - Andrew Johnson, Justin
AU - Janse, Jan H.
AU - José v. Jeetze, Patrick
AU - Kim, Hye Jin
AU - Kuiper, Jan J.
AU - Lonsdorf, Eric
AU - Leclère, David
AU - Mulligan, Mark
AU - Peterson, Garry D.
AU - Popp, Alexander
AU - Roe, Stephanie
AU - Schipper, Aafke M.
AU - Snäll, Tord
AU - van Soesbergen, Arnout
AU - Soterroni, Aline C.
AU - Stehfest, Elke
AU - van Vuuren, Detlef P.
AU - Visconti, Piero
AU - Wang-Erlandsson, Lan
AU - Wells, Geoff
AU - Pereira, Henrique M.
PY - 2024/9
Y1 - 2024/9
N2 - Integrated assessment models that incorporate biodiversity and ecosystem services could be an important tool for improving our understanding of interconnected social-economic-ecological systems, and for analyzing how policy alternatives can shift future trajectories towards more sustainable development. Despite recent scientific and technological advances, key gaps remain in the scientific community's ability to deliver information to decision-makers at the pace and scale needed to address sustainability challenges. We identify five research frontiers for integrated social-economic-ecological modeling (primarily focused on terrestrial systems) to incorporate biodiversity and ecosystem services: 1) downscaling impacts of direct and indirect drivers on ecosystems; 2) incorporating feedbacks in ecosystems; 3) linking ecological impacts to human well-being, 4) disaggregating outcomes for distributional equity considerations, and 5) incorporating dynamic feedbacks of ecosystem services on the social-economic system. We discuss progress and challenges along each of these five frontiers and the science-policy linkages needed to move new research and information into action.
AB - Integrated assessment models that incorporate biodiversity and ecosystem services could be an important tool for improving our understanding of interconnected social-economic-ecological systems, and for analyzing how policy alternatives can shift future trajectories towards more sustainable development. Despite recent scientific and technological advances, key gaps remain in the scientific community's ability to deliver information to decision-makers at the pace and scale needed to address sustainability challenges. We identify five research frontiers for integrated social-economic-ecological modeling (primarily focused on terrestrial systems) to incorporate biodiversity and ecosystem services: 1) downscaling impacts of direct and indirect drivers on ecosystems; 2) incorporating feedbacks in ecosystems; 3) linking ecological impacts to human well-being, 4) disaggregating outcomes for distributional equity considerations, and 5) incorporating dynamic feedbacks of ecosystem services on the social-economic system. We discuss progress and challenges along each of these five frontiers and the science-policy linkages needed to move new research and information into action.
KW - Biodiversity
KW - Climate change
KW - Ecosystem services
KW - Integrated assessment modeling
KW - Land-use change
KW - Sustainable development
U2 - 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2024.102891
DO - 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2024.102891
M3 - Article
AN - SCOPUS:85200967222
SN - 0959-3780
VL - 88
JO - Global Environmental Change
JF - Global Environmental Change
M1 - 102891
ER -