Improving the probability distribution of the change in extreme river flows due to climate change

S.C. van Pelt, B.J.J.M. van den Hurk, T.A. Buisband, J.J. Beersma, P. Kabat

Research output: Contribution to journalAbstractAcademic

Abstract

Probability estimates of the future change of an extreme flood event are often based on a small number of available GCM or RCM projections. This limits the possibilities to assess extreme flood risks. A relatively simple method has been developed to create a wider statistical distribution for probabilistic risk management.
Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)EGU2011-9106
JournalGeophysical Research Abstracts
Volume13
Publication statusPublished - 2011

Keywords

  • river rhine
  • discharge
  • uncertainty analysis
  • models
  • climatic change
  • safety

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