Abstract
We analyze an age-, size- and sex-structured model to investigate how the
interplay between individual-level energy budget dynamics and the feedback of population
grazing on resources shapes the individual life history and the dynamics of ungulate
populations, living in a predator-free, seasonal resource environment. We formulate a
dynamic energy budget model for individual energetics, which accounts for energy
requirements for maintenance and growth, and possibly pregnancy and lactation. Growth
in structural mass is assumed prescribed. Dynamics of energy reserves are the resultant of
energy acquisition through grazing and suckling of milk and the aforementioned energyconsuming
processes. The dynamic energy budget model is used as the core for an individualbased
population model, which captures general features of ungulate life history and
population dynamics, although it is parameterized for a particular system.
Model predictions reveal a characteristic dynamic pattern, in which years with low death
tolls (,10% of the population dying) alternate with a single year of high death toll (up to 40%
of the population dies). In these ‘‘collapse’’ years almost all individuals younger than 2 years
die, creating holes in the population age distribution. The die-off of these age classes is shown
to be caused by the energy requirements for growth that these individuals face. Individuals
between 1 and 2 years of age are more at risk than foals, because they are burdened with the
legacy of a poor body condition developed throughout their first winter. The characteristic
dynamic pattern is more pronounced at high levels of resource productivity. In contrast,
neither a period of snow cover, during which all foraging stops, nor a dependence of fecundity
on female body condition change dynamics significantly.
| Original language | English |
|---|---|
| Pages (from-to) | 945-960 |
| Journal | Ecology |
| Volume | 90 |
| Issue number | 4 |
| DOIs | |
| Publication status | Published - 2009 |
Keywords
- structured population-models
- body-mass
- red deer
- large herbivores
- winter weather
- wild reindeer
- moose calves
- bottom-up
- top-down
- dynamics
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