Future Trends and Validation of biophysical data for uncertainty assessment: NEXOGENESIS Deliverable D2.5

The Deliverable 2.5 presents an overview and scooping of uncertainty linked to results of biophysical macro data/general trends for the case studies in the NEXOGENESIS project, aiming to facilitate screening and validation of results. Among biophysical modelling results made available through D2.2 (“Nexus data vector of biophysical data for each case study [M30]”), several variables and trends in line with a set of selected IPCC emission scenarios have been considered, discussed and reported for preliminary validation, following progress already established in MS18 (“Internal Report of preliminary validation results for selected case studies [M26]”). Several key variables consolidated in D2.2 repository data have been screened for uncertainty assessment and validation according to specific WEFE nexus dimensions and modelling tools, in order to facilitate implementation of complexity science tools. This deliverable, combined with D3.6 (“Sensitivity/Uncertainty Analysis Report [M30]”) will characterize effective and representative uncertainty evaluations to facilitate the finalization of System Dynamic Modelling and its implementation for policy evaluation through Artificial Intelligence in WP4.