Forest decision support systems for the analysis of ecosystem services provisioning at the landscape scale under global climate and market change scenarios

Eva-Maria Nordström*, Maarten Nieuwenhuis, Emin Zeki Başkent, Peter Biber, Kevin Black, Jose G. Borges, Miguel N. Bugalho, Giulia Corradini, Edwin Corrigan, Ljusk Ola Eriksson, Adam Felton, Nicklas Forsell, Geerten Hengeveld, Marjanke Hoogstra-Klein, Anu Korosuo, Matts Lindbladh, Isak Lodin, Anders Lundholm, Marco Marto, Mauro MasieroGintautas Mozgeris, Davide Pettenella, Werner Poschenrieder, Robert Sedmak, Jan Tucek, Davide Zoccatelli

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

26 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

Sustainable forest management is driving the development of forest decision support systems (DSSs) to include models and methods concerned with climate change, biodiversity and various ecosystem services (ESs). The future development of forest landscapes is very much dependent on how forest owners act and what goes on in the wider world; thus, models are needed that incorporate these aspects. The objective of this study is to assess how nine European state-of-the-art forest DSSs cope with these issues. The assessment focuses on the ability of these DSSs to generate landscape-level scenarios to explore the output of current and alternative forest management models (FMMs) in terms of a range of ESs and the robustness of these FMMs in the face of increased risks and uncertainty. Results show that all DSSs assessed in this study can be used to quantify the impacts of both stand- and landscape-level FMMs on the provision of a range of ESs over a typical planning horizon. DSSs can be used to assess how timber price trends may impact that provision over time. The inclusion of forest owner behavior as reflected by the adoption of specific FMMs seems to be also in the reach of all DSSs. Nevertheless, some DSSs need more data and development of models to estimate the impacts of climate change on biomass production and other ESs. Spatial analysis functionality needs to be further developed for a more accurate assessment of the landscape-level output of ESs from both current and alternative FMMs.
Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)561-581
JournalEuropean Journal of Forest Research
Volume138
Issue number4
Early online date23 Mar 2019
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Aug 2019

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