Estimation of foot and mouth disease transmission parameters, using outbreak data and transmission experiments

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Abstract

Mathematical models for the spread of foot and mouth disease (FMD) have been developed and used for a number of purposes in the recent literature. One important purpose is predicting the effect of strategies to combat between-farm epidemic spread, in support of decision-making on epidemic control. The authors briefly review the various modelling approaches, discussing the parameters used and how estimates may be obtained for these parameters. They emphasise that, in addition to the estimation of FMD transmission parameters, the choice of model structure (including the number and type of parameters used) is also crucial. Two gaps in the knowledge of FMD transmission, related to model construction and parameter quantification, are identified: transmission between different species and the way in which vaccination affects such transmission, and route-specific FMD transmission properties. In particular, the authors pay attention to the role that small-scale transmission experiments can play in bridging these gaps.
LanguageEnglish
Pages467-481
JournalRevue scientifique et technique / Office International des Epizooties
Volume30
Issue number2
Publication statusPublished - 2011

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foot-and-mouth disease
disease transmission
decision making
mathematical models
vaccination
farms

Keywords

  • classical swine-fever
  • alternative control strategies
  • between-pen transmission
  • virus transmission
  • great-britain
  • vaccinated pigs
  • clinical variation
  • reactive vaccination
  • simulation-models
  • natural aerosols

Cite this

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title = "Estimation of foot and mouth disease transmission parameters, using outbreak data and transmission experiments",
abstract = "Mathematical models for the spread of foot and mouth disease (FMD) have been developed and used for a number of purposes in the recent literature. One important purpose is predicting the effect of strategies to combat between-farm epidemic spread, in support of decision-making on epidemic control. The authors briefly review the various modelling approaches, discussing the parameters used and how estimates may be obtained for these parameters. They emphasise that, in addition to the estimation of FMD transmission parameters, the choice of model structure (including the number and type of parameters used) is also crucial. Two gaps in the knowledge of FMD transmission, related to model construction and parameter quantification, are identified: transmission between different species and the way in which vaccination affects such transmission, and route-specific FMD transmission properties. In particular, the authors pay attention to the role that small-scale transmission experiments can play in bridging these gaps.",
keywords = "classical swine-fever, alternative control strategies, between-pen transmission, virus transmission, great-britain, vaccinated pigs, clinical variation, reactive vaccination, simulation-models, natural aerosols",
author = "T.H.J. Hagenaars and A. Dekker and {de Jong}, M.C.M. and P.L. Eble",
year = "2011",
language = "English",
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journal = "Revue scientifique et technique / Office International des Epizooties",
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publisher = "Office International des Epizooties",
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T1 - Estimation of foot and mouth disease transmission parameters, using outbreak data and transmission experiments

AU - Hagenaars, T.H.J.

AU - Dekker, A.

AU - de Jong, M.C.M.

AU - Eble, P.L.

PY - 2011

Y1 - 2011

N2 - Mathematical models for the spread of foot and mouth disease (FMD) have been developed and used for a number of purposes in the recent literature. One important purpose is predicting the effect of strategies to combat between-farm epidemic spread, in support of decision-making on epidemic control. The authors briefly review the various modelling approaches, discussing the parameters used and how estimates may be obtained for these parameters. They emphasise that, in addition to the estimation of FMD transmission parameters, the choice of model structure (including the number and type of parameters used) is also crucial. Two gaps in the knowledge of FMD transmission, related to model construction and parameter quantification, are identified: transmission between different species and the way in which vaccination affects such transmission, and route-specific FMD transmission properties. In particular, the authors pay attention to the role that small-scale transmission experiments can play in bridging these gaps.

AB - Mathematical models for the spread of foot and mouth disease (FMD) have been developed and used for a number of purposes in the recent literature. One important purpose is predicting the effect of strategies to combat between-farm epidemic spread, in support of decision-making on epidemic control. The authors briefly review the various modelling approaches, discussing the parameters used and how estimates may be obtained for these parameters. They emphasise that, in addition to the estimation of FMD transmission parameters, the choice of model structure (including the number and type of parameters used) is also crucial. Two gaps in the knowledge of FMD transmission, related to model construction and parameter quantification, are identified: transmission between different species and the way in which vaccination affects such transmission, and route-specific FMD transmission properties. In particular, the authors pay attention to the role that small-scale transmission experiments can play in bridging these gaps.

KW - classical swine-fever

KW - alternative control strategies

KW - between-pen transmission

KW - virus transmission

KW - great-britain

KW - vaccinated pigs

KW - clinical variation

KW - reactive vaccination

KW - simulation-models

KW - natural aerosols

M3 - Article

VL - 30

SP - 467

EP - 481

JO - Revue scientifique et technique / Office International des Epizooties

T2 - Revue scientifique et technique / Office International des Epizooties

JF - Revue scientifique et technique / Office International des Epizooties

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