Deliverable D3.1 (D5) Preliminary report on the impact on Technology, Structural change and Demand side processes

Hugo Storm, Damilola Tominsin Aladesuru, Till Kuhn, Lukas Cechura, Zdenka Zakova Kroupova, Jarmila Curtiss, Paolo Sckokai, Giulia Tiboldo, Elena Castellari, Daniele Moro, László Podmaniczky, Katalin Balázs, Sebastian Neuenfeldt, Zohra Bouamra-Mechemache, N.T. Feenstra, E.I. Gehrke, H. Ferrer Pérez

Research output: Book/ReportReportProfessional

Abstract

Executive summary

This deliverable presents preliminary work from Work Package (WP) 3. The WP aims to provide and improve basic understanding of non-policy processes relevant to Safe and Just Operating Space (SJOS) outcomes. The WP takes an ex-post perspective to study the relationships of interest. This provides the basis for ex-ante modelling activities within BrightSpace. Specifically, WP3 aims to systematically collect the available empirical knowledge of relevant non-policy processes, identify research gaps, and address these gaps through novel empirical analysis. It covers non-policy processes on the supply as well as on the demand side.

The preliminary deliverable presents completed and planned activities relating, on the supply side, to on-farm technology usage, farm structural change, farming intensity and field structural change. Those are tasks 3.1 and 3.2. The deliverable also reports completed activities and planned work for task 3.3 Consumer diets/preferences/waste reflecting the demand side processes addressed in the WP.

Within each chapter, we first provide the results of a systematic literature review to collect empirical evidence of how the considered process links to the outcome of different SJ dimensions. This literature review also identifies major research gaps where empirical knowledge is lacking to determine the importance of a process for an SJ dimension or where empirical quantification is lacking to provide sufficient information to model the relationship. Secondly, in each section, we present the empirical activities we aim to conduct within the second half of WP3. Thirdly, we discuss how empirical knowledge of the considered processes can be included in ex-ante models, identifying modelling needs and possible modelling interfaces.

The literature review on the linkages between the SJOS and agricultural production decisions provide guidance and prioritization for future modelling and further research activities. Our findings reveal substantial knowledge on the relationship between on-farm technology usage, farm and field structural change, consumer preferences, and waste with the thematic areas of the EU SJOS. The literature review also identifies the need for more empirical work to generate useful estimates that can be used to quantify and model the identified relationships in ex-ante models. The planned activities described under ‘intended work’ for the second half of the WP3 are open to modification based on the project development during the implementation of the activities.
Original languageEnglish
Number of pages75
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 26 Apr 2024

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