In order to reduce its dependency on legume imports (mainly soya bean), which poses a risk for EU livestock production, the European Union wants to promote the development of legume production chains in the EU. The goal of the analysis discussed in this report is to identify a robust package of interventions that, when applied as a strategy, can be used to promote the development of legume value chains under different future conditions. This analysis is to be used as input for the workshop to be held in Roskilde in March 2018. In a scenario analysis using two dimensions – one on economics and one on EU cohesion – we defined four very different scenario’s, or Visions of the Future. We characterise these on three levels: firstly, on a societal level using STEEP methodology, secondly, on the level of the agro-food system, and thirdly, specifically on legumes for food and feed application. We analysed a variety of optional interventions for the promotion of legume value chains forrobustness under the different visions of the future. The exploration described in this report leads to the conclusion that knowledge interventions are the most robust as a strategy implemented to promote the development of legume value chains in the European Union, taking the very different visions of the future into account. It is however also important to realise that in real life implementation of innovations, conditions will not vary as much as they do in the visionscharacterised in this report, and that the act of doing an exploration of possible interventions is an important part of finding a suitable strategy.
|Place of Publication||Wageningen|
|Number of pages||27|
|Publication status||Published - 2018|