De Nederlandse melkveehouderij in 2030: verkenning van mogelijke ontwikkelingen op basis van economische modellering

Research output: Book/ReportReportProfessional


This study explores the possible development directions for the Dutch dairy sector as we approach 2030. An economic model was developed with which the effect of economic, policy, and societal changes on the structure of the Dutch dairy farm sector can be explored. The baseline scenario is based on existing and implemented policy and continuation of past behaviour. In 2030, this will result in a 33% decrease in the number of farms and a 4% increase in the total milk production (compared to 2018), and a decrease in the number of cows to nearly 1.5 million. In addition to the baseline scenario, three exploratory scenarios based on potential future societal changes were investigated. Recommendations are made about how the insights may be used to make dairy farming more economically sound and more sustainable. This requires coordinated actions from a number of actors.
Original languageDutch
Place of PublicationWageningen
PublisherWageningen Economic Research
Number of pages83
ISBN (Electronic)9789463955690
Publication statusPublished - 2020

Publication series

NameRapport / Wageningen Economic Research

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