Dairy Quota and Farm Structural Change: A Case Study on the Netherlands

R.A. Jongeneel; A. Tonini

Dairy Quota and Farm Structural Change: A Case Study on the Netherlands

R.A. Jongeneel
, A. Tonini

Agricultural Economics and Rural Policy

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceeding › Conference paper › Academic › peer-review

Abstract

This paper sets out to analyse the impact of milk quotas had on the dairy farm structure of the Netherlands. In addition projections on the likely farm structure under different milk quota scenarios are explored. Moreover mobility indicators characterizing structural change are developed and calculated. A Markov probability model is estimated relying on a generalized cross entropy approach. The introduction of milk quotas as of April 1, 1984 froze the dairy farm structural adjustment, at least initially. However, later on mobility started to increase, which is likely to reflect the quota tradability and lease possibilities. Moreover there is evidence that the milk quota regime has increased concentration of dairy production among farms with 50-69 cows. If after quota abolition the dairy farm structural dynamics would be the same as in the 1972-83 period, then quota abolition in 2015 will lead to a substantial increase in the number of farms in 2022 as compared to the current status quo

Original language	English
Title of host publication	Proceedings of the 107th EAAE Seminar, 30 January-1 February 2008, Sevilla, Spain
Editors	L. Bartova, J.M. Gil, R. M'barek, Th. Ratinger
Place of Publication	Spanje
Publisher	European Association of Agricultural Economists (EAAE)
Pages	145-156
Publication status	Published - 2009
Event	107th EAAE Seminar - Duration: 29 Jan 2008 → 1 Feb 2008

Seminar

Seminar	107th EAAE Seminar
Period	29/01/08 → 1/02/08

Cite this

@inproceedings{bdc47f2dd11f47568a42000e3cd5a0aa,

title = "Dairy Quota and Farm Structural Change: A Case Study on the Netherlands",

abstract = "This paper sets out to analyse the impact of milk quotas had on the dairy farm structure of the Netherlands. In addition projections on the likely farm structure under different milk quota scenarios are explored. Moreover mobility indicators characterizing structural change are developed and calculated. A Markov probability model is estimated relying on a generalized cross entropy approach. The introduction of milk quotas as of April 1, 1984 froze the dairy farm structural adjustment, at least initially. However, later on mobility started to increase, which is likely to reflect the quota tradability and lease possibilities. Moreover there is evidence that the milk quota regime has increased concentration of dairy production among farms with 50-69 cows. If after quota abolition the dairy farm structural dynamics would be the same as in the 1972-83 period, then quota abolition in 2015 will lead to a substantial increase in the number of farms in 2022 as compared to the current status quo",

author = "R.A. Jongeneel and A. Tonini",

year = "2009",

language = "English",

pages = "145--156",

editor = "L. Bartova and J.M. Gil and R. M'barek and Th. Ratinger",

booktitle = "Proceedings of the 107th EAAE Seminar, 30 January-1 February 2008, Sevilla, Spain",

publisher = "European Association of Agricultural Economists (EAAE)",

address = "Netherlands",

note = "107th EAAE Seminar ; Conference date: 29-01-2008 Through 01-02-2008",

}

Dairy Quota and Farm Structural Change: A Case Study on the Netherlands. / Jongeneel, R.A.; Tonini, A.
Proceedings of the 107th EAAE Seminar, 30 January-1 February 2008, Sevilla, Spain. ed. / L. Bartova; J.M. Gil; R. M'barek; Th. Ratinger. Spanje: European Association of Agricultural Economists (EAAE), 2009. p. 145-156.

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceeding › Conference paper › Academic › peer-review

TY - GEN

T1 - Dairy Quota and Farm Structural Change: A Case Study on the Netherlands

AU - Jongeneel, R.A.

AU - Tonini, A.

PY - 2009

Y1 - 2009

N2 - This paper sets out to analyse the impact of milk quotas had on the dairy farm structure of the Netherlands. In addition projections on the likely farm structure under different milk quota scenarios are explored. Moreover mobility indicators characterizing structural change are developed and calculated. A Markov probability model is estimated relying on a generalized cross entropy approach. The introduction of milk quotas as of April 1, 1984 froze the dairy farm structural adjustment, at least initially. However, later on mobility started to increase, which is likely to reflect the quota tradability and lease possibilities. Moreover there is evidence that the milk quota regime has increased concentration of dairy production among farms with 50-69 cows. If after quota abolition the dairy farm structural dynamics would be the same as in the 1972-83 period, then quota abolition in 2015 will lead to a substantial increase in the number of farms in 2022 as compared to the current status quo

AB - This paper sets out to analyse the impact of milk quotas had on the dairy farm structure of the Netherlands. In addition projections on the likely farm structure under different milk quota scenarios are explored. Moreover mobility indicators characterizing structural change are developed and calculated. A Markov probability model is estimated relying on a generalized cross entropy approach. The introduction of milk quotas as of April 1, 1984 froze the dairy farm structural adjustment, at least initially. However, later on mobility started to increase, which is likely to reflect the quota tradability and lease possibilities. Moreover there is evidence that the milk quota regime has increased concentration of dairy production among farms with 50-69 cows. If after quota abolition the dairy farm structural dynamics would be the same as in the 1972-83 period, then quota abolition in 2015 will lead to a substantial increase in the number of farms in 2022 as compared to the current status quo

M3 - Conference paper

SP - 145

EP - 156

BT - Proceedings of the 107th EAAE Seminar, 30 January-1 February 2008, Sevilla, Spain

A2 - Bartova, L.

A2 - Gil, J.M.

A2 - M'barek, R.

A2 - Ratinger, Th.

PB - European Association of Agricultural Economists (EAAE)

CY - Spanje

T2 - 107th EAAE Seminar

Y2 - 29 January 2008 through 1 February 2008

ER -

Dairy Quota and Farm Structural Change: A Case Study on the Netherlands

Abstract

Seminar

Fingerprint

Cite this