Biotechnology for Tomorrow's World: Scenarios to Guide Directions for Future Innovation

Marc Cornelissen, Aleksandra Małyska*, Amrit Kaur Nanda, René Klein Lankhorst, Martin A.J. Parry, Vandasue Rodrigues Saltenis, Mathias Pribil, Philippe Nacry, Dirk Inzé, Alexandra Baekelandt

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

17 Citations (Scopus)


Depending on how the future will unfold, today's progress in biotechnology research has greater or lesser potential to be the basis of subsequent innovation. Tracking progress against indicators for different future scenarios will help to focus, emphasize, or de-emphasize discovery research in a timely manner and to maximize the chance for successful innovation. In this paper, we show how learning scenarios with a 2050 time horizon help to recognize the implications of political and societal developments on the innovation potential of ongoing biotechnological research. We also propose a model to further increase open innovation between academia and the biotechnology value chain to help fundamental research explore discovery fields that have a greater chance to be valuable for applied research.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)438-444
JournalTrends in Biotechnology
Issue number5
Early online date21 Oct 2020
Publication statusPublished - 2021


  • bioeconomy
  • biotechnology
  • earning scenarios
  • microbiome
  • open innovation
  • research and innovation


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