Biased-corrected richness estimates for the Amazonian tree flora

Hans ter Steege; Paulo I. Prado; Renato A.F. de Lima; Edwin Pos; Luiz de Souza Coelho; Diogenes de Andrade Lima Filho; Rafael P. Salomão; Iêda Leão Amaral; Francisca Dionízia de Almeida Matos; Carolina V. Castilho; Oliver L. Phillips; Juan Ernesto Guevara; Marcelo de Jesus Veiga Carim; Dairon Cárdenas López; William E. Magnusson; Florian Wittmann; Maria Pires Martins; Daniel Sabatier; Mariana Victória Irume; José Renan da Silva Guimarães; Jean François Molino; Olaf S. Bánki; Maria Teresa Fernandez Piedade; Nigel C.A. Pitman; José Ferreira Ramos; Abel Monteagudo Mendoza; Eduardo Martins Venticinque; Bruno Garcia Luize; Percy Núñez Vargas; Thiago Sanna Freire Silva; Evlyn Márcia Moraes de Leão Novo; Neidiane Farias Costa Reis; John Terborgh; Angelo Gilberto Manzatto; Katia Regina Casula; Euridice N. Honorio Coronado; Juan Carlos Montero; Alvaro Duque; Flávia R.C. Costa; Nicolás Castaño Arboleda; Jochen Schöngart; Charles Eugene Zartman; Timothy J. Killeen; Beatriz S. Marimon; Ben Hur Marimon-Junior; Rodolfo Vasquez; Bonifacio Mostacedo; Layon O. Demarchi; Ted R. Feldpausch; Julien Engel; Pascal Petronelli; Chris Baraloto; Rafael L. Assis; Hernán Castellanos; Marcelo Fragomeni Simon; Marcelo Brilhante de Medeiros; Adriano Quaresma; Susan G.W. Laurance; Lorena M. Rincón; Ana Andrade; Thaiane R. Sousa; José Luís Camargo; Juliana Schietti; William F. Laurance; Helder Lima de Queiroz; Henrique Eduardo Mendonça Nascimento; Maria Aparecida Lopes; Emanuelle de Sousa Farias; José Leonardo Lima Magalhães; Roel Brienen; Gerardo A. Aymard C; Juan David Cardenas Revilla; Ima Célia Guimarães Vieira; Bruno Barçante Ladvocat Cintra; Pablo R. Stevenson; Yuri Oliveira Feitosa; Joost F. Duivenvoorden; Hugo F. Mogollón; Alejandro Araujo-Murakami; Leandro Valle Ferreira; José Rafael Lozada; James A. Comiskey; José Julio de Toledo; Gabriel Damasco; Nállarett Dávila; Aline Lopes; Roosevelt García-Villacorta; Freddie Draper; Alberto Vicentini; Fernando Cornejo Valverde; Jon Lloyd; Vitor H.F. Gomes; David Neill; Alfonso Alonso; Francisco Dallmeier; Fernanda Coelho de Souza; Paul Maas; Tim R. Baker; Tinde R. van Andel; Janaína Costa Noronha; Edelcilio Marques Barbosa; Yadvinder Malhi; Milton Tirado; Ophelia Wang; Marcelo Trindade Nascimento; Bernardo Monteiro Flores

doi:10.1038/s41598-020-66686-3

Biased-corrected richness estimates for the Amazonian tree flora

Hans ter Steege^*, Paulo I. Prado^*, Renato A.F. de Lima, Edwin Pos, Luiz de Souza Coelho, Diogenes de Andrade Lima Filho, Rafael P. Salomão, Iêda Leão Amaral, Francisca Dionízia de Almeida Matos, Carolina V. Castilho, Oliver L. Phillips, Juan Ernesto Guevara, Marcelo de Jesus Veiga Carim, Dairon Cárdenas López, William E. Magnusson, Florian Wittmann, Maria Pires Martins, Daniel Sabatier, Mariana Victória Irume, José Renan da Silva GuimarãesJean François Molino, Olaf S. Bánki, Maria Teresa Fernandez Piedade, Nigel C.A. Pitman, José Ferreira Ramos, Abel Monteagudo Mendoza, Eduardo Martins Venticinque, Bruno Garcia Luize, Percy Núñez Vargas, Thiago Sanna Freire Silva, Evlyn Márcia Moraes de Leão Novo, Neidiane Farias Costa Reis, John Terborgh, Angelo Gilberto Manzatto, Katia Regina Casula, Euridice N. Honorio Coronado, Juan Carlos Montero, Alvaro Duque, Flávia R.C. Costa, Nicolás Castaño Arboleda, Jochen Schöngart, Charles Eugene Zartman, Timothy J. Killeen, Beatriz S. Marimon, Ben Hur Marimon-Junior, Rodolfo Vasquez, Bonifacio Mostacedo, Layon O. Demarchi, Ted R. Feldpausch, Julien Engel, Pascal Petronelli, Chris Baraloto, Rafael L. Assis, Hernán Castellanos, Marcelo Fragomeni Simon, Marcelo Brilhante de Medeiros, Adriano Quaresma, Susan G.W. Laurance, Lorena M. Rincón, Ana Andrade, Thaiane R. Sousa, José Luís Camargo, Juliana Schietti, William F. Laurance, Helder Lima de Queiroz, Henrique Eduardo Mendonça Nascimento, Maria Aparecida Lopes, Emanuelle de Sousa Farias, José Leonardo Lima Magalhães, Roel Brienen, Gerardo A. Aymard C, Juan David Cardenas Revilla, Ima Célia Guimarães Vieira, Bruno Barçante Ladvocat Cintra, Pablo R. Stevenson, Yuri Oliveira Feitosa, Joost F. Duivenvoorden, Hugo F. Mogollón, Alejandro Araujo-Murakami, Leandro Valle Ferreira, José Rafael Lozada, James A. Comiskey, José Julio de Toledo, Gabriel Damasco, Nállarett Dávila, Aline Lopes, Roosevelt García-Villacorta, Freddie Draper, Alberto Vicentini, Fernando Cornejo Valverde, Jon Lloyd, Vitor H.F. Gomes, David Neill, Alfonso Alonso, Francisco Dallmeier, Fernanda Coelho de Souza, Paul Maas, Tim R. Baker, Tinde R. van Andel, Janaína Costa Noronha, Edelcilio Marques Barbosa, Yadvinder Malhi, Milton Tirado, Ophelia Wang, Marcelo Trindade Nascimento, Bernardo Monteiro Flores

^*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › Academic › peer-review

76 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

Amazonian forests are extraordinarily diverse, but the estimated species richness is very much debated. Here, we apply an ensemble of parametric estimators and a novel technique that includes conspecific spatial aggregation to an extended database of forest plots with up-to-date taxonomy. We show that the species abundance distribution of Amazonia is best approximated by a logseries with aggregated individuals, where aggregation increases with rarity. By averaging several methods to estimate total richness, we confirm that over 15,000 tree species are expected to occur in Amazonia. We also show that using ten times the number of plots would result in an increase to just ~50% of those 15,000 estimated species. To get a more complete sample of all tree species, rigorous field campaigns may be needed but the number of trees in Amazonia will remain an estimate for years to come.

Original language	English
Article number	10130
Journal	Scientific Reports
Volume	10
Issue number	1
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-020-66686-3
Publication status	Published - 23 Jun 2020

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10.1038/s41598-020-66686-3Licence: CC BY

https://edepot.wur.nl/525655Licence: CC BY

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ter Steege, H., Prado, P. I., de Lima, R. A. F., Pos, E., de Souza Coelho, L., de Andrade Lima Filho, D., Salomão, R. P., Amaral, I. L., de Almeida Matos, F. D., Castilho, C. V., Phillips, O. L., Guevara, J. E., de Jesus Veiga Carim, M., Cárdenas López, D., Magnusson, W. E., Wittmann, F., Martins, M. P., Sabatier, D., Irume, M. V., ... Flores, B. M. (2020). Biased-corrected richness estimates for the Amazonian tree flora. Scientific Reports, 10(1), Article 10130. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-020-66686-3

@article{d5e9756c106c4582b0e45f194a0758f8,

title = "Biased-corrected richness estimates for the Amazonian tree flora",

abstract = "Amazonian forests are extraordinarily diverse, but the estimated species richness is very much debated. Here, we apply an ensemble of parametric estimators and a novel technique that includes conspecific spatial aggregation to an extended database of forest plots with up-to-date taxonomy. We show that the species abundance distribution of Amazonia is best approximated by a logseries with aggregated individuals, where aggregation increases with rarity. By averaging several methods to estimate total richness, we confirm that over 15,000 tree species are expected to occur in Amazonia. We also show that using ten times the number of plots would result in an increase to just ~50% of those 15,000 estimated species. To get a more complete sample of all tree species, rigorous field campaigns may be needed but the number of trees in Amazonia will remain an estimate for years to come.",

author = "{ter Steege}, Hans and Prado, {Paulo I.} and {de Lima}, {Renato A.F.} and Edwin Pos and {de Souza Coelho}, Luiz and {de Andrade Lima Filho}, Diogenes and Salom{\~a}o, {Rafael P.} and Amaral, {I{\^e}da Le{\~a}o} and {de Almeida Matos}, {Francisca Dion{\'i}zia} and Castilho, {Carolina V.} and Phillips, {Oliver L.} and Guevara, {Juan Ernesto} and {de Jesus Veiga Carim}, Marcelo and {C{\'a}rdenas L{\'o}pez}, Dairon and Magnusson, {William E.} and Florian Wittmann and Martins, {Maria Pires} and Daniel Sabatier and Irume, {Mariana Vict{\'o}ria} and {da Silva Guimar{\~a}es}, {Jos{\'e} Renan} and Molino, {Jean Fran{\c c}ois} and B{\'a}nki, {Olaf S.} and Piedade, {Maria Teresa Fernandez} and Pitman, {Nigel C.A.} and Ramos, {Jos{\'e} Ferreira} and {Monteagudo Mendoza}, Abel and Venticinque, {Eduardo Martins} and Luize, {Bruno Garcia} and {N{\'u}{\~n}ez Vargas}, Percy and Silva, {Thiago Sanna Freire} and {de Le{\~a}o Novo}, {Evlyn M{\'a}rcia Moraes} and Reis, {Neidiane Farias Costa} and John Terborgh and Manzatto, {Angelo Gilberto} and Casula, {Katia Regina} and {Honorio Coronado}, {Euridice N.} and Montero, {Juan Carlos} and Alvaro Duque and Costa, {Fl{\'a}via R.C.} and {Casta{\~n}o Arboleda}, Nicol{\'a}s and Jochen Sch{\"o}ngart and Zartman, {Charles Eugene} and Killeen, {Timothy J.} and Marimon, {Beatriz S.} and Marimon-Junior, {Ben Hur} and Rodolfo Vasquez and Bonifacio Mostacedo and Demarchi, {Layon O.} and Feldpausch, {Ted R.} and Julien Engel and Pascal Petronelli and Chris Baraloto and Assis, {Rafael L.} and Hern{\'a}n Castellanos and Simon, {Marcelo Fragomeni} and {de Medeiros}, {Marcelo Brilhante} and Adriano Quaresma and Laurance, {Susan G.W.} and Rinc{\'o}n, {Lorena M.} and Ana Andrade and Sousa, {Thaiane R.} and Camargo, {Jos{\'e} Lu{\'i}s} and Juliana Schietti and Laurance, {William F.} and {de Queiroz}, {Helder Lima} and Nascimento, {Henrique Eduardo Mendon{\c c}a} and Lopes, {Maria Aparecida} and {de Sousa Farias}, Emanuelle and Magalh{\~a}es, {Jos{\'e} Leonardo Lima} and Roel Brienen and {Aymard C}, {Gerardo A.} and Revilla, {Juan David Cardenas} and Vieira, {Ima C{\'e}lia Guimar{\~a}es} and Cintra, {Bruno Bar{\c c}ante Ladvocat} and Stevenson, {Pablo R.} and Feitosa, {Yuri Oliveira} and Duivenvoorden, {Joost F.} and Mogoll{\'o}n, {Hugo F.} and Alejandro Araujo-Murakami and Ferreira, {Leandro Valle} and Lozada, {Jos{\'e} Rafael} and Comiskey, {James A.} and {de Toledo}, {Jos{\'e} Julio} and Gabriel Damasco and N{\'a}llarett D{\'a}vila and Aline Lopes and Roosevelt Garc{\'i}a-Villacorta and Freddie Draper and Alberto Vicentini and {Cornejo Valverde}, Fernando and Jon Lloyd and Gomes, {Vitor H.F.} and David Neill and Alfonso Alonso and Francisco Dallmeier and {de Souza}, {Fernanda Coelho} and Paul Maas and Baker, {Tim R.} and {van Andel}, {Tinde R.} and Noronha, {Jana{\'i}na Costa} and Barbosa, {Edelcilio Marques} and Yadvinder Malhi and Milton Tirado and Ophelia Wang and Nascimento, {Marcelo Trindade} and Flores, {Bernardo Monteiro}",

year = "2020",

month = jun,

day = "23",

doi = "10.1038/s41598-020-66686-3",

language = "English",

volume = "10",

journal = "Scientific Reports",

issn = "2045-2322",

publisher = "Nature",

number = "1",

}

ter Steege, H, Prado, PI, de Lima, RAF, Pos, E, de Souza Coelho, L, de Andrade Lima Filho, D, Salomão, RP, Amaral, IL, de Almeida Matos, FD, Castilho, CV, Phillips, OL, Guevara, JE, de Jesus Veiga Carim, M, Cárdenas López, D, Magnusson, WE, Wittmann, F, Martins, MP, Sabatier, D, Irume, MV, da Silva Guimarães, JR, Molino, JF, Bánki, OS, Piedade, MTF, Pitman, NCA, Ramos, JF, Monteagudo Mendoza, A, Venticinque, EM, Luize, BG, Núñez Vargas, P, Silva, TSF, de Leão Novo, EMM, Reis, NFC, Terborgh, J, Manzatto, AG, Casula, KR, Honorio Coronado, EN, Montero, JC, Duque, A, Costa, FRC, Castaño Arboleda, N, Schöngart, J, Zartman, CE, Killeen, TJ, Marimon, BS, Marimon-Junior, BH, Vasquez, R, Mostacedo, B, Demarchi, LO, Feldpausch, TR, Engel, J, Petronelli, P, Baraloto, C, Assis, RL, Castellanos, H, Simon, MF, de Medeiros, MB, Quaresma, A, Laurance, SGW, Rincón, LM, Andrade, A, Sousa, TR, Camargo, JL, Schietti, J, Laurance, WF, de Queiroz, HL, Nascimento, HEM, Lopes, MA, de Sousa Farias, E, Magalhães, JLL, Brienen, R, Aymard C, GA, Revilla, JDC, Vieira, ICG, Cintra, BBL, Stevenson, PR, Feitosa, YO, Duivenvoorden, JF, Mogollón, HF, Araujo-Murakami, A, Ferreira, LV, Lozada, JR, Comiskey, JA, de Toledo, JJ, Damasco, G, Dávila, N, Lopes, A, García-Villacorta, R, Draper, F, Vicentini, A, Cornejo Valverde, F, Lloyd, J, Gomes, VHF, Neill, D, Alonso, A, Dallmeier, F, de Souza, FC, Maas, P, Baker, TR, van Andel, TR, Noronha, JC, Barbosa, EM, Malhi, Y, Tirado, M, Wang, O, Nascimento, MT & Flores, BM 2020, 'Biased-corrected richness estimates for the Amazonian tree flora', Scientific Reports, vol. 10, no. 1, 10130. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-020-66686-3

TY - JOUR

T1 - Biased-corrected richness estimates for the Amazonian tree flora

AU - ter Steege, Hans

AU - Prado, Paulo I.

AU - de Lima, Renato A.F.

AU - Pos, Edwin

AU - de Souza Coelho, Luiz

AU - de Andrade Lima Filho, Diogenes

AU - Salomão, Rafael P.

AU - Amaral, Iêda Leão

AU - de Almeida Matos, Francisca Dionízia

AU - Castilho, Carolina V.

AU - Phillips, Oliver L.

AU - Guevara, Juan Ernesto

AU - de Jesus Veiga Carim, Marcelo

AU - Cárdenas López, Dairon

AU - Magnusson, William E.

AU - Wittmann, Florian

AU - Martins, Maria Pires

AU - Sabatier, Daniel

AU - Irume, Mariana Victória

AU - da Silva Guimarães, José Renan

AU - Molino, Jean François

AU - Bánki, Olaf S.

AU - Piedade, Maria Teresa Fernandez

AU - Pitman, Nigel C.A.

AU - Ramos, José Ferreira

AU - Monteagudo Mendoza, Abel

AU - Venticinque, Eduardo Martins

AU - Luize, Bruno Garcia

AU - Núñez Vargas, Percy

AU - Silva, Thiago Sanna Freire

AU - de Leão Novo, Evlyn Márcia Moraes

AU - Reis, Neidiane Farias Costa

AU - Terborgh, John

AU - Manzatto, Angelo Gilberto

AU - Casula, Katia Regina

AU - Honorio Coronado, Euridice N.

AU - Montero, Juan Carlos

AU - Duque, Alvaro

AU - Costa, Flávia R.C.

AU - Castaño Arboleda, Nicolás

AU - Schöngart, Jochen

AU - Zartman, Charles Eugene

AU - Killeen, Timothy J.

AU - Marimon, Beatriz S.

AU - Marimon-Junior, Ben Hur

AU - Vasquez, Rodolfo

AU - Mostacedo, Bonifacio

AU - Demarchi, Layon O.

AU - Feldpausch, Ted R.

AU - Engel, Julien

AU - Petronelli, Pascal

AU - Baraloto, Chris

AU - Assis, Rafael L.

AU - Castellanos, Hernán

AU - Simon, Marcelo Fragomeni

AU - de Medeiros, Marcelo Brilhante

AU - Quaresma, Adriano

AU - Laurance, Susan G.W.

AU - Rincón, Lorena M.

AU - Andrade, Ana

AU - Sousa, Thaiane R.

AU - Camargo, José Luís

AU - Schietti, Juliana

AU - Laurance, William F.

AU - de Queiroz, Helder Lima

AU - Nascimento, Henrique Eduardo Mendonça

AU - Lopes, Maria Aparecida

AU - de Sousa Farias, Emanuelle

AU - Magalhães, José Leonardo Lima

AU - Brienen, Roel

AU - Aymard C, Gerardo A.

AU - Revilla, Juan David Cardenas

AU - Vieira, Ima Célia Guimarães

AU - Cintra, Bruno Barçante Ladvocat

AU - Stevenson, Pablo R.

AU - Feitosa, Yuri Oliveira

AU - Duivenvoorden, Joost F.

AU - Mogollón, Hugo F.

AU - Araujo-Murakami, Alejandro

AU - Ferreira, Leandro Valle

AU - Lozada, José Rafael

AU - Comiskey, James A.

AU - de Toledo, José Julio

AU - Damasco, Gabriel

AU - Dávila, Nállarett

AU - Lopes, Aline

AU - García-Villacorta, Roosevelt

AU - Draper, Freddie

AU - Vicentini, Alberto

AU - Cornejo Valverde, Fernando

AU - Lloyd, Jon

AU - Gomes, Vitor H.F.

AU - Neill, David

AU - Alonso, Alfonso

AU - Dallmeier, Francisco

AU - de Souza, Fernanda Coelho

AU - Maas, Paul

AU - Baker, Tim R.

AU - van Andel, Tinde R.

AU - Noronha, Janaína Costa

AU - Barbosa, Edelcilio Marques

AU - Malhi, Yadvinder

AU - Tirado, Milton

AU - Wang, Ophelia

AU - Nascimento, Marcelo Trindade

AU - Flores, Bernardo Monteiro

PY - 2020/6/23

Y1 - 2020/6/23

N2 - Amazonian forests are extraordinarily diverse, but the estimated species richness is very much debated. Here, we apply an ensemble of parametric estimators and a novel technique that includes conspecific spatial aggregation to an extended database of forest plots with up-to-date taxonomy. We show that the species abundance distribution of Amazonia is best approximated by a logseries with aggregated individuals, where aggregation increases with rarity. By averaging several methods to estimate total richness, we confirm that over 15,000 tree species are expected to occur in Amazonia. We also show that using ten times the number of plots would result in an increase to just ~50% of those 15,000 estimated species. To get a more complete sample of all tree species, rigorous field campaigns may be needed but the number of trees in Amazonia will remain an estimate for years to come.

AB - Amazonian forests are extraordinarily diverse, but the estimated species richness is very much debated. Here, we apply an ensemble of parametric estimators and a novel technique that includes conspecific spatial aggregation to an extended database of forest plots with up-to-date taxonomy. We show that the species abundance distribution of Amazonia is best approximated by a logseries with aggregated individuals, where aggregation increases with rarity. By averaging several methods to estimate total richness, we confirm that over 15,000 tree species are expected to occur in Amazonia. We also show that using ten times the number of plots would result in an increase to just ~50% of those 15,000 estimated species. To get a more complete sample of all tree species, rigorous field campaigns may be needed but the number of trees in Amazonia will remain an estimate for years to come.

U2 - 10.1038/s41598-020-66686-3

DO - 10.1038/s41598-020-66686-3

M3 - Article

C2 - 32576943

AN - SCOPUS:85086787200

SN - 2045-2322

VL - 10

JO - Scientific Reports

JF - Scientific Reports

IS - 1

M1 - 10130

ER -

Biased-corrected richness estimates for the Amazonian tree flora

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