Assessment of rice self-sufficiency in 2025 in eight African countries

P.A.J. van Oort; K. Saito; A. Tanaka; E. Amovin-Assagaba; L.G.J. van Bussel; J. van Wart; H.L.E. de Groot; M.K. van Ittersum; K.G. Cassman; M.C.S. Wopereis

doi:10.1016/j.gfs.2015.01.002

Assessment of rice self-sufficiency in 2025 in eight African countries

P.A.J. van Oort^*, K. Saito, A. Tanaka, E. Amovin-Assagaba, L.G.J. van Bussel, J. van Wart, H.L.E. de Groot, M.K. van Ittersum, K.G. Cassman, M.C.S. Wopereis

^*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › Academic › peer-review

108 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

Most African countries are far from self-sufficient in meeting their rice consumption; in eight countries the production: consumption ratio, ranged from 0.16 to 1.18 in 2012. We show that for the year 2025, with population growth, diet change and yield increase on existing land (intensification), countries cannot become fully self-sufficient in rice. This implies that for the future, a mixture of area expansion and imports will be needed on top of yield gap closure. Further research is needed for identification of most suitable new land for rice area expansion and areas that should be protected.

Original language	English
Pages (from-to)	39-49
Journal	Global Food Security
Volume	5
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gfs.2015.01.002
Publication status	Published - 2015

Keywords

Africa
Food security
Population
Rice
Yield gap
Yield potential

UN SDGs

This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

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10.1016/j.gfs.2015.01.002Licence: CC BY

Cite this

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title = "Assessment of rice self-sufficiency in 2025 in eight African countries",

abstract = "Most African countries are far from self-sufficient in meeting their rice consumption; in eight countries the production: consumption ratio, ranged from 0.16 to 1.18 in 2012. We show that for the year 2025, with population growth, diet change and yield increase on existing land (intensification), countries cannot become fully self-sufficient in rice. This implies that for the future, a mixture of area expansion and imports will be needed on top of yield gap closure. Further research is needed for identification of most suitable new land for rice area expansion and areas that should be protected.",

keywords = "Africa, Food security, Population, Rice, Yield gap, Yield potential",

author = "{van Oort}, P.A.J. and K. Saito and A. Tanaka and E. Amovin-Assagaba and {van Bussel}, L.G.J. and {van Wart}, J. and {de Groot}, H.L.E. and {van Ittersum}, M.K. and K.G. Cassman and M.C.S. Wopereis",

year = "2015",

doi = "10.1016/j.gfs.2015.01.002",

language = "English",

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T1 - Assessment of rice self-sufficiency in 2025 in eight African countries

AU - van Oort, P.A.J.

AU - Saito, K.

AU - Tanaka, A.

AU - Amovin-Assagaba, E.

AU - van Bussel, L.G.J.

AU - van Wart, J.

AU - de Groot, H.L.E.

AU - van Ittersum, M.K.

AU - Cassman, K.G.

AU - Wopereis, M.C.S.

PY - 2015

Y1 - 2015

N2 - Most African countries are far from self-sufficient in meeting their rice consumption; in eight countries the production: consumption ratio, ranged from 0.16 to 1.18 in 2012. We show that for the year 2025, with population growth, diet change and yield increase on existing land (intensification), countries cannot become fully self-sufficient in rice. This implies that for the future, a mixture of area expansion and imports will be needed on top of yield gap closure. Further research is needed for identification of most suitable new land for rice area expansion and areas that should be protected.

AB - Most African countries are far from self-sufficient in meeting their rice consumption; in eight countries the production: consumption ratio, ranged from 0.16 to 1.18 in 2012. We show that for the year 2025, with population growth, diet change and yield increase on existing land (intensification), countries cannot become fully self-sufficient in rice. This implies that for the future, a mixture of area expansion and imports will be needed on top of yield gap closure. Further research is needed for identification of most suitable new land for rice area expansion and areas that should be protected.

KW - Africa

KW - Food security

KW - Population

KW - Rice

KW - Yield gap

KW - Yield potential

U2 - 10.1016/j.gfs.2015.01.002

DO - 10.1016/j.gfs.2015.01.002

M3 - Article

SN - 2211-9124

VL - 5

SP - 39

EP - 49

JO - Global Food Security

JF - Global Food Security

ER -

Assessment of rice self-sufficiency in 2025 in eight African countries

Abstract

Keywords

UN SDGs

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