Approaches to analyse and model changes in impacts: reply to discussions of “How to improve attribution of changes in drought and flood impacts”*

Heidi Kreibich*, Veit Blauhut, Jeroen C.J.H. Aerts, Laurens M. Bouwer, Henny A.J. Van Lanen, Alfonso Mejia, Marjolein Mens, Anne F. Van Loon

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalLetterAcademic

Abstract

We thank the authors, Brunella Bonaccorso and Karsten Arnbjerg-Nielsen for their constructive contributions to the discussion about the attribution of changes in drought and flood impacts. We appreciate that they support our opinion, but in particular their additional new ideas on how to better understand changes in impacts. It is great that they challenge us to think a step further on how to foster the collection of long time series of data and how to use these to model and project changes. Here, we elaborate on the possibility to collect time series of data on hazard, exposure, vulnerability and impacts and how these could be used to improve e.g. socio-hydrological models for the development of future risk scenarios.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)491-494
JournalHydrological Sciences Journal
Volume65
Issue number3
Early online date18 Dec 2019
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Mar 2020

Keywords

  • damage
  • dynamic risk
  • hydrological extremes
  • new data
  • projecting risk

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