Alternative futures of rural areas in the EU; A comparative analysis of scenaria studies

K.M. Jansson, I.J. Terluin

    Research output: Contribution to conferenceConference paper

    Abstract

    What does rural Europe look like in 2030? Is agriculture still the main land user? In recent years, studies such as ESPON, Eururalis, SCENAR2020, SENSOR, SEAMLESS and PRELUDE have tried to address these questions. These studies resulted in a number of alternative futures of rural areas in the EU. In this paper a comparative analysis of these scenario studies is made in order to explore differences and similarities in the scenarios and alternative futures of rural areas in the EU. For this purpose, we designed a scheme for assessing the properties of the various scenarios and a scheme for a systematic description of the rural futures according to the scenarios. It appears that most scenario studies use a baseline scenario and a set of alternative scenarios with different degrees of policy regulation. Agriculture will continue to be a main land user in 2030, although some land abandonment will take place.

    Seminar

    Seminar113th EAAE seminar on 'The role of knowledge, innovation and human capital in multifunctional agriculture and territorial rural developement, Belgrade, Serbia
    Period9/12/0911/12/09

    Fingerprint Dive into the research topics of 'Alternative futures of rural areas in the EU; A comparative analysis of scenaria studies'. Together they form a unique fingerprint.

  • Cite this

    Jansson, K. M., & Terluin, I. J. (2010). Alternative futures of rural areas in the EU; A comparative analysis of scenaria studies. Paper presented at 113th EAAE seminar on 'The role of knowledge, innovation and human capital in multifunctional agriculture and territorial rural developement, Belgrade, Serbia, .