A taxonomy-based approach to shed light on the babel of mathematical models for rice simulation

Roberto Confalonieri*, Simone Bregaglio, Myriam Adam, Françoise Ruget, Tao Li, Toshihiro Hasegawa, Xinyou Yin, Yan Zhu, Kenneth Boote, Samuel Buis, Tamon Fumoto, Donald Gaydon, Tanguy Lafarge, Manuel Marcaida, Hiroshi Nakagawa, Alex C. Ruane, Balwinder Singh, Upendra Singh, Liang Tang, Fulu TaoJob Fugice, Hiroe Yoshida, Zhao Zhang, Lloyd T. Wilson, Jeff Baker, Yubin Yang, Yuji Masutomi, Daniel Wallach, Marco Acutis, Bas Bouman

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

11 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

For most biophysical domains, differences in model structures are seldom quantified. Here, we used a taxonomy-based approach to characterise thirteen rice models. Classification keys and binary attributes for each key were identified, and models were categorised into five clusters using a binary similarity measure and the unweighted pair-group method with arithmetic mean. Principal component analysis was performed on model outputs at four sites. Results indicated that (i) differences in structure often resulted in similar predictions and (ii) similar structures can lead to large differences in model outputs. User subjectivity during calibration may have hidden expected relationships between model structure and behaviour. This explanation, if confirmed, highlights the need for shared protocols to reduce the degrees of freedom during calibration, and to limit, in turn, the risk that user subjectivity influences model performance.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)332-341
JournalEnvironmental Modelling & Software
Volume85
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2016

Keywords

  • Model classification
  • Model ensemble
  • Model parameterisation
  • Model structure
  • Rice
  • Uncertainty

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