A Comparative Study of Projection Models on China's Food Economy

    Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingChapterAcademicpeer-review


    During the last two decades, China's food supply and demand has been a hot topic for both politicians and academics given China's rapid economic development and its sheer market size. Accordingly, researchers are trying to project the future development of China's food economy. This article reviews several influential projection models and compares their model structure, major assumptions and projection results. In addition, it tries to pinpoint the most significant factors that could influence the projection results. Several emerging issues, such as the projection validity, livestock structure changes and data reliability are discussed at the end.
    Original languageEnglish
    Title of host publicationRural Development in Transitional China: the new agriculture
    EditorsP. Ho, J. Eyferth, E.B. Vermeer
    Place of PublicationLondon
    PublisherFRANK CASS Publishers
    Number of pages309
    ISBN (Print)9780714655499
    Publication statusPublished - 2004


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