A climate-sensitive forest model for assessing impacts of forest management in Europe

S. Härkönen, M. Neumann, V. Mues, F. Berninger, K. Bronisz, G. Cardellini, G. Chirici, H. Hasenauer, M. Koehl, M. Lang, K. Merganicova, F. Mohren, A. Moiseyev, A. Moreno, M. Mura, B. Muys, K. Olschofsky, B. Del Perugia, P.K. Rørstad, B. Solberg & 3 others A. Thivolle-Cazat, V. Trotsiuk, A. Mäkelä

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Abstract

FORMIT-M is a widely applicable, open-access, simple and flexible, climate-sensitive forest management simulator requiring only standard forest inventory data as input. It combines a process-based carbon balance approach with a strong inventory-based empirical component. The model has been linked to the global forest sector model EFI-GTM to secure consistency between timber cutting and demand, although prescribed harvest scenarios can also be used. Here we introduce the structure of the model and demonstrate its use with example simulations until the end of the 21st century in Europe, comparing different management scenarios in different regions under climate change. The model was consistent with country-level statistics of growing stock volumes (R 2 = 0.938) and its projections of climate impact on growth agreed with other studies. The management changes had a greater impact on growing stocks, harvest potential and carbon balance than projected climate change, at least in the absence of increased disturbance rates.

LanguageEnglish
Pages128-143
JournalEnvironmental Modelling and Software
Volume115
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 1 May 2019

Fingerprint

Forestry
forest management
carbon balance
climate
Climate change
climate change
Carbon
twenty first century
climate effect
Timber
forest inventory
simulator
timber
Simulators
Statistics
disturbance
Europe
simulation
harvest

Keywords

  • Bioeconomy
  • Bioenergy
  • Disturbances
  • Forest planning
  • FORMIT
  • Model
  • NPP
  • Scenario analysis
  • Sustainability
  • Timber harvests

Cite this

Härkönen, S., Neumann, M., Mues, V., Berninger, F., Bronisz, K., Cardellini, G., ... Mäkelä, A. (2019). A climate-sensitive forest model for assessing impacts of forest management in Europe. Environmental Modelling and Software, 115, 128-143. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsoft.2019.02.009
Härkönen, S. ; Neumann, M. ; Mues, V. ; Berninger, F. ; Bronisz, K. ; Cardellini, G. ; Chirici, G. ; Hasenauer, H. ; Koehl, M. ; Lang, M. ; Merganicova, K. ; Mohren, F. ; Moiseyev, A. ; Moreno, A. ; Mura, M. ; Muys, B. ; Olschofsky, K. ; Del Perugia, B. ; Rørstad, P.K. ; Solberg, B. ; Thivolle-Cazat, A. ; Trotsiuk, V. ; Mäkelä, A. / A climate-sensitive forest model for assessing impacts of forest management in Europe. In: Environmental Modelling and Software. 2019 ; Vol. 115. pp. 128-143.
@article{7f9c4d0055484ee295b3f204ac5d00b8,
title = "A climate-sensitive forest model for assessing impacts of forest management in Europe",
abstract = "FORMIT-M is a widely applicable, open-access, simple and flexible, climate-sensitive forest management simulator requiring only standard forest inventory data as input. It combines a process-based carbon balance approach with a strong inventory-based empirical component. The model has been linked to the global forest sector model EFI-GTM to secure consistency between timber cutting and demand, although prescribed harvest scenarios can also be used. Here we introduce the structure of the model and demonstrate its use with example simulations until the end of the 21st century in Europe, comparing different management scenarios in different regions under climate change. The model was consistent with country-level statistics of growing stock volumes (R 2 = 0.938) and its projections of climate impact on growth agreed with other studies. The management changes had a greater impact on growing stocks, harvest potential and carbon balance than projected climate change, at least in the absence of increased disturbance rates.",
keywords = "Bioeconomy, Bioenergy, Disturbances, Forest planning, FORMIT, Model, NPP, Scenario analysis, Sustainability, Timber harvests",
author = "S. H{\"a}rk{\"o}nen and M. Neumann and V. Mues and F. Berninger and K. Bronisz and G. Cardellini and G. Chirici and H. Hasenauer and M. Koehl and M. Lang and K. Merganicova and F. Mohren and A. Moiseyev and A. Moreno and M. Mura and B. Muys and K. Olschofsky and {Del Perugia}, B. and P.K. R{\o}rstad and B. Solberg and A. Thivolle-Cazat and V. Trotsiuk and A. M{\"a}kel{\"a}",
year = "2019",
month = "5",
day = "1",
doi = "10.1016/j.envsoft.2019.02.009",
language = "English",
volume = "115",
pages = "128--143",
journal = "Environmental Modelling & Software",
issn = "1364-8152",
publisher = "Elsevier",

}

Härkönen, S, Neumann, M, Mues, V, Berninger, F, Bronisz, K, Cardellini, G, Chirici, G, Hasenauer, H, Koehl, M, Lang, M, Merganicova, K, Mohren, F, Moiseyev, A, Moreno, A, Mura, M, Muys, B, Olschofsky, K, Del Perugia, B, Rørstad, PK, Solberg, B, Thivolle-Cazat, A, Trotsiuk, V & Mäkelä, A 2019, 'A climate-sensitive forest model for assessing impacts of forest management in Europe', Environmental Modelling and Software, vol. 115, pp. 128-143. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsoft.2019.02.009

A climate-sensitive forest model for assessing impacts of forest management in Europe. / Härkönen, S.; Neumann, M.; Mues, V.; Berninger, F.; Bronisz, K.; Cardellini, G.; Chirici, G.; Hasenauer, H.; Koehl, M.; Lang, M.; Merganicova, K.; Mohren, F.; Moiseyev, A.; Moreno, A.; Mura, M.; Muys, B.; Olschofsky, K.; Del Perugia, B.; Rørstad, P.K.; Solberg, B.; Thivolle-Cazat, A.; Trotsiuk, V.; Mäkelä, A.

In: Environmental Modelling and Software, Vol. 115, 01.05.2019, p. 128-143.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

TY - JOUR

T1 - A climate-sensitive forest model for assessing impacts of forest management in Europe

AU - Härkönen, S.

AU - Neumann, M.

AU - Mues, V.

AU - Berninger, F.

AU - Bronisz, K.

AU - Cardellini, G.

AU - Chirici, G.

AU - Hasenauer, H.

AU - Koehl, M.

AU - Lang, M.

AU - Merganicova, K.

AU - Mohren, F.

AU - Moiseyev, A.

AU - Moreno, A.

AU - Mura, M.

AU - Muys, B.

AU - Olschofsky, K.

AU - Del Perugia, B.

AU - Rørstad, P.K.

AU - Solberg, B.

AU - Thivolle-Cazat, A.

AU - Trotsiuk, V.

AU - Mäkelä, A.

PY - 2019/5/1

Y1 - 2019/5/1

N2 - FORMIT-M is a widely applicable, open-access, simple and flexible, climate-sensitive forest management simulator requiring only standard forest inventory data as input. It combines a process-based carbon balance approach with a strong inventory-based empirical component. The model has been linked to the global forest sector model EFI-GTM to secure consistency between timber cutting and demand, although prescribed harvest scenarios can also be used. Here we introduce the structure of the model and demonstrate its use with example simulations until the end of the 21st century in Europe, comparing different management scenarios in different regions under climate change. The model was consistent with country-level statistics of growing stock volumes (R 2 = 0.938) and its projections of climate impact on growth agreed with other studies. The management changes had a greater impact on growing stocks, harvest potential and carbon balance than projected climate change, at least in the absence of increased disturbance rates.

AB - FORMIT-M is a widely applicable, open-access, simple and flexible, climate-sensitive forest management simulator requiring only standard forest inventory data as input. It combines a process-based carbon balance approach with a strong inventory-based empirical component. The model has been linked to the global forest sector model EFI-GTM to secure consistency between timber cutting and demand, although prescribed harvest scenarios can also be used. Here we introduce the structure of the model and demonstrate its use with example simulations until the end of the 21st century in Europe, comparing different management scenarios in different regions under climate change. The model was consistent with country-level statistics of growing stock volumes (R 2 = 0.938) and its projections of climate impact on growth agreed with other studies. The management changes had a greater impact on growing stocks, harvest potential and carbon balance than projected climate change, at least in the absence of increased disturbance rates.

KW - Bioeconomy

KW - Bioenergy

KW - Disturbances

KW - Forest planning

KW - FORMIT

KW - Model

KW - NPP

KW - Scenario analysis

KW - Sustainability

KW - Timber harvests

U2 - 10.1016/j.envsoft.2019.02.009

DO - 10.1016/j.envsoft.2019.02.009

M3 - Article

VL - 115

SP - 128

EP - 143

JO - Environmental Modelling & Software

T2 - Environmental Modelling & Software

JF - Environmental Modelling & Software

SN - 1364-8152

ER -