Raising the alert about critical feedbacks between climate and long-term land use change in the Amazon

    Project: EU research project

    Project Details


    AMAZALERT will enable raising the alert about critical feedbacks between climate, society, land-use change, vegetation change, water availability and policies in Amazonia. We will:
    1) analyze and improve coupled models of global climate and Amazon, land use, vegetation and socio-economic drivers to quantify anthropogenic and climate induced land-use and land cover change and non-linear, irreversible feedbacks among these components
    2) assess the role of regional and global policies and societal responses in the Amazon region for altering the trajectory of land-use change in the face of climate change and other anthropogenic factors and finally
    3) propose i) an Early Warning System for detecting any imminent irreversible loss of Amazon ecosystem services, ii) policy response strategies to prevent such loss.

    We first prioritise the functions of Amazonia and threats to these. We then will analyse uncertainties in biogeochemistry, land cover (vegetation), land-use change and regional hydrology , as well as nonlinear responses and feedbacks using existing and new simulations from state of the art models in which land surface is coupled to global climate. The way in which policies and possible future response strategies of policy makers, trade and economy will affect land-use change will be modelled. This will lead to (A) understanding the impact on and effectiveness of a range of international and regional policy options, including REDD\; and (B) identification of both biophysical and socio-economic indicators of irreversible change.
    AMAZALERT integrates the multidisciplinary knowledge and research of world-renowned, highly influential climate, land cover, land use change scientists and also policy analysts from 14 European and South-American institutions that have been collaborating for 10 to 30 years. Thus, this project can achieve maximum impact on EU (2020 climate goals), international and South-American strategies, including REDD
    Effective start/end date1/09/1130/11/14
    • Competition influences tree growth, but not mortality, across environmental gradients in Amazonia and tropical Africa

      Rozendaal, D. M. A., Phillips, O. L., Lewis, S. L., Affum-Baffoe, K., Alvarez-Davila, E., Andrade, A., Aragão, L. E. O. C., Araujo-Murakami, A., Baker, T. R., Bánki, O., Brienen, R. J. W., Camargo, J. L. C., Comiskey, J. A., Djuikouo Kamdem, M. N., Fauset, S., Feldpausch, T. R., Killeen, T. J., Laurance, W. F., Laurance, S. G. W., Lovejoy, T. & 23 others, Malhi, Y., Marimon, B. S., Marimon Junior, B. H., Marshall, A. R., Neill, D. A., Núñez Vargas, P., Pitman, N. C. A., Poorter, L., Reitsma, J., Silveira, M., Sonké, B., Sunderland, T., Taedoumg, H., ter Steege, H., Terborgh, J. W., Umetsu, R. K., van der Heijden, G. M. F., Vilanova, E., Vos, V., White, L. J. T., Willcock, S., Zemagho, L. & Vanderwel, M. C., Jul 2020, In : Ecology. 101, 7, e03052.

      Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

      Open Access
      4 Citations (Scopus)
    • Compositional response of Amazon forests to climate change

      Esquivel-Muelbert, A., Baker, T. R., Dexter, K. G., Lewis, S. L., Brienen, R. J. W., Feldpausch, T. R., Lloyd, J., Monteagudo-Mendoza, A., Arroyo, L., Álvarez-Dávila, E., Higuchi, N., Marimon, B. S., Marimon-Junior, B. H., Silveira, M., Vilanova, E., Gloor, E., Malhi, Y., Chave, J., Barlow, J., Bonal, D. & 30 others, Davila Cardozo, N., Erwin, T., Fauset, S., Hérault, B., Laurance, S., Poorter, L., Qie, L., Stahl, C., Sullivan, M. J. P., ter Steege, H., Vos, V. A., Zuidema, P. A., Almeida, E., Almeida de Oliveira, E., Andrade, A., Vieira, S. A., Aragão, L., Araujo-Murakami, A., Arets, E., Aymard C, G. A., Baraloto, C., Camargo, P. B., Barroso, J. G., Bongers, F., Boot, R., Camargo, J. L., Castro, W., Chama Moscoso, V., Comiskey, J. & Peña-Claros, M., Jan 2019, In : Global Change Biology. 25, 1, p. 39-56

      Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

      Open Access
      78 Citations (Scopus)
    • Evolutionary diversity is associated with wood productivity in Amazonian forests

      Coelho de Souza, F., Dexter, K. G., Phillips, O. L., Pennington, T. R., Neves, D., Sullivan, M. J. P., Alvarez-Davila, E., Alves, Á., Amaral, I., Andrade, A., Aragao, L. E. O. C., Araujo-Murakami, A., Arets, E. J. M. M., Arroyo, L., Aymard C, G. A., Bánki, O., Baraloto, C., Barroso, J. G., Boot, R. G. A., Brienen, R. J. W. & 55 others, Brown, F., Camargo, J. L. C., Castro, W., Chave, J., Cogollo, A., Comiskey, J. A., Cornejo-Valverde, F., da Costa, A. L., de Camargo, P. B., Di Fiore, A., Feldpausch, T. R., Galbraith, D. R., Gloor, E., Goodman, R. C., Gilpin, M., Herrera, R., Higuchi, N., Honorio Coronado, E. N., Jimenez-Rojas, E., Killeen, T. J., Laurance, S., Laurance, W. F., Lopez-Gonzalez, G., Lovejoy, T. E., Malhi, Y., Marimon, B. S., Marimon-Junior, B. H., Mendoza, C., Monteagudo-Mendoza, A., Neill, D. A., Vargas, P. N., Peñuela Mora, M. C., Pickavance, G. C., Pipoly, J. J., Pitman, N. C. A., Poorter, L., Prieto, A., Ramirez, F., Roopsind, A., Rudas, A., Salomão, R. P., Silva, N., Silveira, M., Singh, J., Stropp, J., ter Steege, H., Terborgh, J., Thomas-Caesar, R., Umetsu, R. K., Vasquez, R. V., Célia-Vieira, I., Vieira, S. A., Vos, V. A., Zagt, R. J. & Baker, T. R., 11 Nov 2019, In : Nature Ecology and Evolution. 3, p. 1754–1761

      Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

      10 Citations (Scopus)