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Research Output 1994 2020

2020
1 Citation (Scopus)

Foreseeing the future of mutualistic communities beyond collapse

Lever, J. J., van de Leemput, I. A., Weinans, E., Quax, R., Dakos, V., van Nes, E. H., Bascompte, J. & Scheffer, M., Jan 2020, In : Ecology Letters. 23, 1, p. 2-15

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Open Access
ecosystems
ecosystem
facilitation
case studies
disturbance
2019
5 Citations (Scopus)

Dancing on the volcano: Social exploration in times of discontent

Carpenter, S. R., Folke, C., Scheffer, M. & Westley, F. R., 1 May 2019, In : Ecology and Society. 24, 1, 23.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Open Access
volcano
nationalism
environmental degradation
global change
biosphere
4 Citations (Scopus)

Dynamical indicators of resilience in postural balance time series are related to successful aging in high-functioning older adults

Gijzel, S., van de Leemput, I. A., Scheffer, M., van Bon, G., Weerdesteyn, V., Eijsvogels, T. M. H., Hopman, M. T. E., Olde Rikkert, M. G. M. & Melis, R. J. F., Jul 2019, In : Journals of Gerontology. Series A: Biological Sciences & Medical Sciences. 74, 7, p. 1119-1126

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Postural Balance
Pressure
Systems Theory
Foot
Health
3 Citations (Scopus)

Ecosystem tipping points in an evolving world

Dakos, V., Matthews, B., Hendry, A. P., Levine, J., Loeuille, N., Norberg, J., Nosil, P., Scheffer, M. & De Meester, L., 18 Feb 2019, In : Nature Ecology and Evolution. 3, p. 355-362 18909.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

ecosystems
ecosystem
environmental change
world
cost

Finding the direction of lowest resilience in multivariate complex systems

Weinans, E., Lever, J., Bathiany, S., Quax, R., Bascompte, J., Van Nes, E. H., Scheffer, M. & Van De Leemput, I. A., 30 Oct 2019, In : Journal of the Royal Society Interface. 16, 159, 20190629.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Open Access
Large scale systems
Time series
Autocorrelation
Noise
Ecosystems
6 Citations (Scopus)

Inferring causation from time series in Earth system sciences

Runge, J., Bathiany, S., Bollt, E., Camps-Valls, G., Coumou, D., Deyle, E., Glymour, C., Kretschmer, M., Mahecha, M. D., Muñoz-Marí, J., van Nes, E. H., Peters, J., Quax, R., Reichstein, M., Scheffer, M., Schölkopf, B., Spirtes, P., Sugihara, G., Sun, J., Zhang, K. & 1 others, Zscheischler, J., 14 Jun 2019, In : Nature Communications. 10, 1, 2553.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Open Access
Earth Sciences
Systems science
Causality
Time series
Earth (planet)
1 Citation (Scopus)

Livestock Herbivory Shapes Fire Regimes and Vegetation Structure Across the Global Tropics

Bernardi, R. E., Staal, A., Xu, C., Scheffer, M. & Holmgren, M., Nov 2019, In : Ecosystems. 22, 7, p. 1457-1465 18910.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Open Access
Tropics
fire regime
vegetation structure
herbivory
Agriculture

Manuscripts how to build a cross-disciplinary institute: the curious case of the south american institute for resilience and sustainability studies

Scheffer, M. & Mazzeo, N., 1 Jul 2019, In : Ecology and Society. 24, 2, 34.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Open Access
sustainability
art
trade-off
ownership
science
1 Citation (Scopus)

Resilience in Clinical Care: Getting a Grip on the Recovery Potential of Older Adults

Gijzel, S. M. W., Whitson, H. E., van de Leemput, I. A., Scheffer, M., van Asselt, D., Rector, J. L., Olde Rikkert, M. G. M. & Melis, R. J. F., Dec 2019, In : Journal of the American Geriatrics Society. 67, 12, p. 2650-2657

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Open Access
Research Personnel
Health
Geriatrics
Comorbidity
Medicine

Rethinking resource allocation in science

Bollen, J., Carpenter, S. R., Lubchenco, J. & Scheffer, M., 2019, In : Ecology and Society. 24, 3, 29.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Open Access
resource allocation
science
young
project
conflict of interests

Superorganisms or loose collections of species? A unifying theory of community patterns along environmental gradients

Liautaud, K., van Nes, E. H., Barbier, M., Scheffer, M. & Loreau, M., Aug 2019, In : Ecology Letters. 22, 8, p. 1243-1252

Research output: Contribution to journalLetterAcademicpeer-review

environmental gradient
species diversity
ecology
organisms
community organization
2 Citations (Scopus)

Technology driven inequality leads to poverty and resource depletion

Usman Mirza, M., Richter, A., van Nes, E. H. & Scheffer, M., 1 Jun 2019, In : Ecological Economics. 160, p. 215-226 12 p., 18908.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Open Access
resource depletion
poverty
resource
land degradation
Resource depletion
2 Citations (Scopus)

The minute-scale dynamics of online emotions reveal the effects of affect labeling

Fan, R., Varol, O., Varamesh, A., Barron, A., van de Leemput, I. A., Scheffer, M. & Bollen, J. L. T., 2019, In : Nature Human Behaviour. 3, p. 92–100 9 p., 18911.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Emotions
3 Citations (Scopus)

Transnational corporations and the challenge of biosphere stewardship

Folke, C., Österblom, H., Jouffray, J. B., Lambin, E. F., Adger, W. N., Scheffer, M., Crona, B. I., Nyström, M., Levin, S. A., Carpenter, S. R., Anderies, J. M., Chapin, S., Crépin, A. S., Dauriach, A., Galaz, V., Gordon, L. J., Kautsky, N., Walker, B. H., Watson, J. R., Wilen, J. & 1 others, de Zeeuw, A., Oct 2019, In : Nature Ecology & Evolution. 3, 10, p. 1396-1403

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

corporations
biosphere
sustainability
seafood
upscaling
2018
6 Citations (Scopus)

Abrupt Climate Change in an Oscillating World

Bathiany, S., Scheffer, M., Van Nes, E. H., Williamson, M. S. & Lenton, T. M., 1 Dec 2018, In : Scientific Reports. 8, 1, 5040.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Open Access
climate change
ecosystem
climate
Milankovitch cycle
timescale
1 Citation (Scopus)

A global climate niche for giant trees

Scheffer, M., Xu, C., Hantson, S., Holmgren, M., Los, S. O. & van Nes, E. H., Jul 2018, In : Global Change Biology. 24, 7, p. 2875-2883

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Open Access
Biodiversity
Climate change
Ecosystems
Rain
global climate
33 Citations (Scopus)

Climate models predict increasing temperature variability in poor countries

Bathiany, S., Dakos, V., Scheffer, M. & Lenton, T. M., 2 May 2018, In : Science Advances. 4, 5, eaar5809.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Open Access
climate modeling
extreme event
atmospheric structure
climate change
temperature
8 Citations (Scopus)

Climate reddening increases the chance of critical transitions

van der Bolt, B., van Nes, E. H., Bathiany, S., Vollebregt, M. E. & Scheffer, M., 30 May 2018, In : Nature Climate Change. 8, 6, p. 478-484

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

climate
autocorrelation
research focus
coral reef
ice sheet
10 Citations (Scopus)

Fire forbids fifty-fifty forest

Van Nes, E. H., Staal, A., Hantson, S., Holmgren, M., Pueyo, S., Bernardi, R. E., Flores, B. M., Xu, C. & Scheffer, M., 1 Jan 2018, In : PLoS ONE. 13, 1, e0191027.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Open Access
Fires
Tropics
Forests
wildfires
tree growth
16 Citations (Scopus)

Forest-rainfall cascades buffer against drought across the Amazon

Staal, A., Tuinenburg, O. A., Bosmans, J. H. C., Holmgren, M., van Nes, E. H., Scheffer, M., Zemp, D. C. & Dekker, S. C., 28 May 2018, In : Nature Climate Change. 8, 6, p. 539-543

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

drought
rainfall
transpiration
basin
water
25 Citations (Scopus)

Quantifying resilience of humans and other animals

Scheffer, M., Bolhuis, J. E., Borsboom, D., Buchman, T. G., Gijzel, S. M. W., Goulson, D., Kammenga, J. E., Kemp, B., van de Leemput, I. A., Levin, S., Martin, C. M., Melis, R. J. F., van Nes, E. H., Romero, L. M. & Olde Rikkert, M. G. M., 20 Nov 2018, In : Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America. 115, 47, p. 11883-11890

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Open Access
animal
adaptive management
physiology
livestock
time series
2 Citations (Scopus)

Remotely sensed canopy height reveals three pantropical ecosystem states: reply

Staal, A., Hantson, S., Holmgren, M., van Nes, E. H., Scheffer, M. & Xu, C., 1 Jan 2018, In : Ecology. 99, 1, p. 235-237

Research output: Contribution to journalComment/Letter to the editorAcademic

8 Citations (Scopus)

Resilience of tropical tree cover: The roles of climate, fire, and herbivory

Staal, A., van Nes, E. H., Hantson, S., Holmgren, M., Dekker, S. C., Pueyo, S., Xu, C. & Scheffer, M., Nov 2018, In : Global Change Biology. 24, 11, p. 5096-5109

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Open Access
herbivory
Fires
Rain
climate
herbivore
2 Citations (Scopus)

Seeing a global web of connected systems

Scheffer, M. & Van Nes, E. H., 21 Dec 2018, In : Science. 362, 6421, 1 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalComment/Letter to the editorAcademic

16 Citations (Scopus)

Slow Recovery from Local Disturbances as an Indicator for Loss of Ecosystem Resilience

van de Leemput, I. A., Dakos, V., Scheffer, M. & van Nes, E. H., Jan 2018, In : Ecosystems. 21, 1, p. 141-152

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Open Access
ecosystem resilience
Ecosystems
perturbation
disturbance
Recovery
11 Citations (Scopus)

Toward a unifying theory of biodiversity

Scheffer, M., van Nes, E. H. & Vergnon, R. O. H., 23 Jan 2018, In : Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America. 115, 4, p. 639-641

Research output: Contribution to journalComment/Letter to the editorAcademic

238 Citations (Scopus)

Trajectories of the Earth System in the Anthropocene

Steffen, W., Rockström, J., Richardson, K., Lenton, T. M., Folke, C., Liverman, D., Summerhayes, C. P., Barnosky, A. D., Cornell, S. E., Crucifix, M., Donges, J. F., Fetzer, I., Lade, S. J., Scheffer, M., Winkelmann, R. & Schellnhuber, H. J., 14 Aug 2018, In : Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America. 115, 33, p. 8252-8259

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Open Access
trajectory
interglacial
carbon sink
global economy
technological change
2017
306 Citations (Scopus)

Coral reefs in the Anthropocene

Hughes, T. P., Barnes, M. L., Bellwood, D. R., Cinner, J. E., Cumming, G. S., Jackson, J. B. C., Kleypas, J., Van De Leemput, I. A., Lough, J. M., Morrison, T. H., Palumbi, S. R., Van Nes, E. H. & Scheffer, M., 2017, In : Nature. 546, 7656, p. 82-90

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

coral reef
reef
ecosystem service
navigation
transform
40 Citations (Scopus)

Creating a Safe Operating Space for Wetlands in a Changing Climate

Green, A. J., Alcorlo, P., Peeters, E. T. H. M., Morris, E. P., Espinar, J. L., Bravo, M., Bustamante, J., Diaz-Delgado, R., Koelmans, A. A., Mateo, R., Mooij, W. M., Rodriguez-Rodriguez, M., van Nes, E. H. & Scheffer, M., 2017, In : Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment. 15, 2, p. 99-107

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

wetlands
wetland
climate change
climate
pollution load
15 Citations (Scopus)

Dynamical Resilience Indicators in Time Series of Self- Rated Health Correspond to Frailty Levels in Older Adults

Gijzel, S., van de Leemput, I. A., Scheffer, M., Roppolo, M., Olde Rikkert, M. G. M. & Melis, R. J. F., 2017, In : Journals of Gerontology. Series A: Biological Sciences & Medical Sciences. 72, 7, p. 991-996

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Health
Mental Health
Frail Elderly
Systems Theory
Retirement
8 Citations (Scopus)

Early Warning Signals for Regime Transition in the Stable Boundary Layer: A Model Study

van Hooijdonk, I. G. S., Moene, A. F., Scheffer, M., Clercx, H. J. H. & van de Wiel, B. J. H., 2017, In : Boundary-Layer Meteorology. 162, 2, p. 283-306

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Open Access
nocturnal boundary layer
boundary layer
turbulence
stratified flow
turbulent boundary layer
29 Citations (Scopus)

Floodplains as an Achilles' heel of Amazonian forest resilience

Flores, B. M., Holmgren Urba, M., Xu, C., van Nes, E. H., Conte Jakovac, C., Mesquita, R. C. G. & Scheffer, M., 2017, In : Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America. 114, 17, p. 4442-4446

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

floodplain
wildfire
peatland
basin
soil fertility
10 Citations (Scopus)

Functional redundancy increases towards the tropics in lake phytoplankton

Kruk, C., Segura, A. M., Costa, L. S., Lacerot, G., Kosten, S., Peeters, E. T. H. M., Huszar, V. L. M., Mazzeo, N. & Scheffer, M., 2017, In : Journal of Plankton Research. 39, 3, p. 518-530

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

functional group
tropics
phytoplankton
lakes
lake
15 Citations (Scopus)

Inequality in nature and society

Scheffer, M., van Bavel, B., van de Leemput, I. A. & van Nes, E. H., 2017, In : Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America. 114, 50, p. 13154-13157

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Open Access
upscaling
natural enemy
resource
society
loss
6 Citations (Scopus)

Observed trends in the magnitude and persistence of monthly temperature variability

Lenton, T. M., Dakos, V., Bathiany, S. & Scheffer, M., 2017, In : Scientific Reports. 7, 1, 5940.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Open Access
autocorrelation
persistence
climate
temperature
teleconnection
8 Citations (Scopus)

Rare, Intense, Big fires dominate the global tropics under drier conditions

Hantson, S., Scheffer, M., Pueyo, S., Xu, C., Lasslop, G., van Nes, E. H., Holmgren Urba, M. & Mendelsohn, J., 30 Oct 2017, In : Scientific Reports. 7, 5 p., 14374.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Open Access
wildfire
ecosystem structure
arid region
global warming
tropics

Reply to Schöngart et al. Forest resilience variation across Amazonian floodplains

Flores, B. M., Holmgren Urba, M., Xu, C., van Nes, E. H., Jakovac, C. C., Mesquita, R. C. G. & Scheffer, M., 10 Oct 2017, In : Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America. 114, 41, p. E8552-E8554

Research output: Contribution to journalComment/Letter to the editorAcademic

63 Citations (Scopus)

Risks of Plastic Debris: Unravelling Fact, Opinion, Perception, and Belief

Koelmans, A. A., Besseling, E., Foekema, E., Kooi, M., Mintenig, S., Ossendorp, B. C., Redondo-Hasselerharm, P. E., Verschoor, A., van Wezel, A. P. & Scheffer, M., 2017, In : Environmental Science and Technology. 51, 20, p. 11513-11519

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Open Access
Debris
plastic
Plastics
esthetics
environmental risk
5 Citations (Scopus)

Teaching originality? Common habits behind creative production in science and arts

Scheffer, M., Baas, M. & Bjordam, T. K., 2017, In : Ecology and Society. 22, 2, 7 p., 29.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Open Access
art
teaching
tunnel
norm
world
3 Citations (Scopus)

To Tree or Not to Tree: Cultural Views from Ancient Romans to Modern Ecologists

Holmgren, M. & Scheffer, M., 2017, In : Ecosystems. 20, 1, p. 62-68

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Open Access
ecologists
Ecosystems
Deforestation
ecosystems
ecosystem
75 Citations (Scopus)
Open Access
Biofouling
biofouling
Biofilms
ocean
modeling
23 Citations (Scopus)

Vegetation recovery in tidal marshes reveals critical slowing down under increased inundation

van Belzen, J., van de Koppel, J., Kirwan, M. L., van der Wal, D., Herman, P. M. J., Dakos, V., Kéfi, S., Scheffer, M., Guntenspergen, G. R. & Bouma, T. J., 9 Jun 2017, In : Nature Communications. 8, 1 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Open Access
marshlands
Wetlands
ecosystems
vegetation
Ecosystems
2016
6 Citations (Scopus)

Anticipating societal collapse; Hints from the stone age

Scheffer, M., 2016, In : Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America. 113, 39, p. 10733-10735

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Open Access
Drought
Stone Age
Farming
Syria
Disintegration

Beyond bifurcation: using complex models to understand and predict abrupt climate change

Bathiany, S., Dijkstra, H., Crucifix, M., Dakos, V., Brovkin, V., Williamson, M. S., Lenton, T. M. & Scheffer, M., 2016, In : Dynamics and Statistics of the Climate System. 1, 1, dzw004.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Open Access
bifurcation
climate change
climate
data mining
nonlinearity
138 Citations (Scopus)

Complexity theory and financial regulation: Economic policy needs interdisciplinary network analysis and behavioral modeling

Battiston, S., Farmer, J. D., Flache, A., Garlaschelli, D., Haldane, A. G., Heesterbeek, H., Hommes, C., Jaeger, C., May, R. & Scheffer, M., 2016, In : Science. 351, 6275, p. 818-819

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Economic policy
Modeling
Network analysis
Financial system
Financial regulation
72 Citations (Scopus)

Critical slowing down as a personalized early warning signal for depression (2015)

Wichers, M., Groot, P. C., van de Leemput, I. A. & Scheffer, M., 2016, In : Psychotherapy and Psychosomatics. 85, 2, p. 114-116 2 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Open Access
Emotions
Depression
Costs and Cost Analysis

Early Warning Signals for Regime Transition in the Stable Boundary Layer: a Model Study

Hooijdonk, I. G. S., Moene, A. F., Scheffer, M., Clercx, H. J. H. & van de Wiel, B. J. H., 2016, p. 15.2.

Research output: Contribution to conferenceAbstractAcademic

Open Access
2 Citations (Scopus)

Erratum to: Multiple feedbacks and the prevalence of alternate stable states on coral reefs

van de Leemput, I. A., Hughes, T. P., van Nes, E. H. & Scheffer, M., 2016, In : Coral Reefs. 35, 3, p. 867-867

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademic

48 Citations (Scopus)

Kinds versus continua: a review of psychometric approaches to uncover the structure of psychiatric constructs

Borsboom, D., Rhemtulla, M., Cramer, A. O. J., van der Maas, H. L. J., Scheffer, M. & Dolan, C. V., 2016, In : Psychological Medicine. 47, 8, p. 1567-1579

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Psychometrics
Psychiatry
Clinical Psychology
Systems Theory
Statistical Models
1 Citation (Scopus)

Letter to the editor: Financial complexity: Accounting for fraud—Response

Battiston, S., Farmer, D., Flache, A., Garlaschelli, D., Haldane, A., Heesterbeek, H., Hommes, C., Jaeger, C., May, R. & Scheffer, M., 2016, In : Science. 352, 6283, p. 302

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademic