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Research Output 1995 2019

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2019

Finding the direction of lowest resilience in multivariate complex systems

Weinans, E., Lever, J., Bathiany, S., Quax, R., Bascompte, J., Van Nes, E. H., Scheffer, M. & Van De Leemput, I. A., 30 Oct 2019, In : Journal of the Royal Society Interface. 16, 159, 20190629.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Open Access
Large scale systems
Time series
Autocorrelation
Noise
Ecosystems
2 Citations (Scopus)

Inferring causation from time series in Earth system sciences

Runge, J., Bathiany, S., Bollt, E., Camps-Valls, G., Coumou, D., Deyle, E., Glymour, C., Kretschmer, M., Mahecha, M. D., Muñoz-Marí, J., van Nes, E. H., Peters, J., Quax, R., Reichstein, M., Scheffer, M., Schölkopf, B., Spirtes, P., Sugihara, G., Sun, J., Zhang, K. & 1 othersZscheischler, J., 14 Jun 2019, In : Nature Communications. 10, 1, 2553.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Open Access
Earth Sciences
Systems science
Causality
Time series
Earth (planet)
1 Citation (Scopus)

Technology driven inequality leads to poverty and resource depletion

Usman Mirza, M., Richter, A., van Nes, E. H. & Scheffer, M., 1 Jun 2019, In : Ecological Economics. 160, p. 215-226 12 p., 18908.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Open Access
resource depletion
poverty
resource
land degradation
Resource depletion
2018
6 Citations (Scopus)

Abrupt Climate Change in an Oscillating World

Bathiany, S., Scheffer, M., Van Nes, E. H., Williamson, M. S. & Lenton, T. M., 1 Dec 2018, In : Scientific Reports. 8, 1, 5040.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Open Access
climate change
ecosystem
climate
Milankovitch cycle
timescale
1 Citation (Scopus)

A global climate niche for giant trees

Scheffer, M., Xu, C., Hantson, S., Holmgren, M., Los, S. O. & van Nes, E. H., Jul 2018, In : Global Change Biology. 24, 7, p. 2875-2883

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Open Access
Biodiversity
Climate change
Ecosystems
Rain
global climate
8 Citations (Scopus)

Climate reddening increases the chance of critical transitions

van der Bolt, B., van Nes, E. H., Bathiany, S., Vollebregt, M. E. & Scheffer, M., 30 May 2018, In : Nature Climate Change. 8, 6, p. 478-484

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

climate
autocorrelation
research focus
coral reef
ice sheet
9 Citations (Scopus)

Fire forbids fifty-fifty forest

Van Nes, E. H., Staal, A., Hantson, S., Holmgren, M., Pueyo, S., Bernardi, R. E., Flores, B. M., Xu, C. & Scheffer, M., 1 Jan 2018, In : PLoS ONE. 13, 1, e0191027.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Open Access
Fires
Tropics
Forests
wildfires
tree growth
13 Citations (Scopus)

Forest-rainfall cascades buffer against drought across the Amazon

Staal, A., Tuinenburg, O. A., Bosmans, J. H. C., Holmgren, M., van Nes, E. H., Scheffer, M., Zemp, D. C. & Dekker, S. C., 28 May 2018, In : Nature Climate Change. 8, 6, p. 539-543

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

drought
rainfall
transpiration
basin
water
17 Citations (Scopus)

Quantifying resilience of humans and other animals

Scheffer, M., Bolhuis, J. E., Borsboom, D., Buchman, T. G., Gijzel, S. M. W., Goulson, D., Kammenga, J. E., Kemp, B., van de Leemput, I. A., Levin, S., Martin, C. M., Melis, R. J. F., van Nes, E. H., Romero, L. M. & Olde Rikkert, M. G. M., 20 Nov 2018, In : Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America. 115, 47, p. 11883-11890

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Open Access
animal
adaptive management
physiology
livestock
time series
8 Citations (Scopus)

Resilience of tropical tree cover: The roles of climate, fire, and herbivory

Staal, A., van Nes, E. H., Hantson, S., Holmgren, M., Dekker, S. C., Pueyo, S., Xu, C. & Scheffer, M., Nov 2018, In : Global Change Biology. 24, 11, p. 5096-5109

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Open Access
herbivory
Fires
Rain
climate
herbivore
13 Citations (Scopus)

Slow Recovery from Local Disturbances as an Indicator for Loss of Ecosystem Resilience

van de Leemput, I. A., Dakos, V., Scheffer, M. & van Nes, E. H., Jan 2018, In : Ecosystems. 21, 1, p. 141-152

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Open Access
ecosystem resilience
Ecosystems
perturbation
disturbance
Recovery
3 Citations (Scopus)

The structuring role of submerged macrophytes in a large subtropical shallow lake: Clear effects on water chemistry and phytoplankton structure community along a vegetated-pelagic gradient

Finkler Ferreira, T., Crossetti, L. O., Motta Marques, D. M. L., Cardoso, L., Fragoso, C. R. & van Nes, E. H., Mar 2018, In : Limnologica. 69, p. 142-154

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

hydrochemistry
macrophytes
water chemistry
community structure
phytoplankton
2017
271 Citations (Scopus)

Coral reefs in the Anthropocene

Hughes, T. P., Barnes, M. L., Bellwood, D. R., Cinner, J. E., Cumming, G. S., Jackson, J. B. C., Kleypas, J., Van De Leemput, I. A., Lough, J. M., Morrison, T. H., Palumbi, S. R., Van Nes, E. H. & Scheffer, M., 2017, In : Nature. 546, 7656, p. 82-90

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

coral reef
reef
ecosystem service
navigation
transform
39 Citations (Scopus)

Creating a Safe Operating Space for Wetlands in a Changing Climate

Green, A. J., Alcorlo, P., Peeters, E. T. H. M., Morris, E. P., Espinar, J. L., Bravo, M., Bustamante, J., Diaz-Delgado, R., Koelmans, A. A., Mateo, R., Mooij, W. M., Rodriguez-Rodriguez, M., van Nes, E. H. & Scheffer, M., 2017, In : Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment. 15, 2, p. 99-107

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

wetlands
wetland
climate change
climate
pollution load
26 Citations (Scopus)

Floodplains as an Achilles' heel of Amazonian forest resilience

Flores, B. M., Holmgren Urba, M., Xu, C., van Nes, E. H., Conte Jakovac, C., Mesquita, R. C. G. & Scheffer, M., 2017, In : Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America. 114, 17, p. 4442-4446

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

floodplain
wildfire
peatland
basin
soil fertility
15 Citations (Scopus)

Inequality in nature and society

Scheffer, M., van Bavel, B., van de Leemput, I. A. & van Nes, E. H., 2017, In : Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America. 114, 50, p. 13154-13157

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Open Access
upscaling
natural enemy
resource
society
loss
6 Citations (Scopus)

Rare, Intense, Big fires dominate the global tropics under drier conditions

Hantson, S., Scheffer, M., Pueyo, S., Xu, C., Lasslop, G., van Nes, E. H., Holmgren Urba, M. & Mendelsohn, J., 30 Oct 2017, In : Scientific Reports. 7, 5 p., 14374.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Open Access
wildfire
ecosystem structure
arid region
global warming
tropics
62 Citations (Scopus)
Open Access
Biofouling
biofouling
Biofilms
ocean
modeling
2016
26 Citations (Scopus)

Bistability, Spatial Interaction, and the Distribution of Tropical Forests and Savannas

Staal, A., Dekker, S. C., Xu, C. & van Nes, E. H., 2016, In : Ecosystems. 19, 6, p. 1080-1091

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Open Access
savanna
tropical forests
tropical forest
savannas
Rain
6 Citations (Scopus)

Effects of food web complexity on top-down control in tropical lakes

Pujoni, D. G. F., Maia-Barbosa, P. M., Barbosa, F. A. R., Fragoso, C. R. & van Nes, E. H., 24 Jan 2016, In : Ecological Modelling. 320, p. 358-365

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

omnivory
top-down control
food web
trophic level
lake
2 Citations (Scopus)

Erratum to: Multiple feedbacks and the prevalence of alternate stable states on coral reefs

van de Leemput, I. A., Hughes, T. P., van Nes, E. H. & Scheffer, M., 2016, In : Coral Reefs. 35, 3, p. 867-867

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademic

25 Citations (Scopus)

Multiple feedbacks and the prevalence of alternate stable states on coral reefs

van de Leemput, I. A., Hughes, T. P., van Nes, E. H. & Scheffer, M., 2016, In : Coral Reefs. 35, 3, p. 857-865

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

coral reefs
coral reef
corals
reefs
coral
1 Citation (Scopus)
Open Access
insect
insects
blueberries
Podisus maculiventris
simulation
25 Citations (Scopus)

Remotely sensed canopy height reveals three pantropical ecosystem states

Xu, C., Hantson, S., Holmgren, M., Van Nes, E. H., Staal, A. & Scheffer, M., 2016, In : Ecology. 97, 9, p. 2518-2521

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

savanna
savannas
canopy
ecosystems
ecosystem
47 Citations (Scopus)

Remotely sensed resilience of tropical forests

Verbesselt, J., Umlauf, N., Hirota, M., Holmgren, M., van Nes, E. H., Herold, M., Zeileis, A. & Scheffer, M., 2016, In : Nature Climate Change. 6, p. 1028-1031

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

tropical forest
resilience
drought
autocorrelation
heat
29 Citations (Scopus)

Slowing down of recovery as generic risk marker for acute severity transitions in chronic diseases

Olde Rikkert, M. G. M., Dakos, V., Buchman, T., de Boer, R., Glass, L., Cramer, A. O. J., Levin, S., van Nes, E. H., Sugihara, G., Ferrari, M. D., Tolner, E. A. & van de Leemput, I. A., 2016, In : Critical Care Medicine. 44, 3, p. 601-606

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Chronic Disease
Medicine
Critical Care
Systems Biology
Disease Management
104 Citations (Scopus)

Social norms as solutions

Nyborg, K., Anderies, J. M., Dannenberg, A., Lindahl, T., Schill, C., Schluter, M., Adger, W. N., Arrow, K. J., Barrett, S., Scheffer, M. & van Nes, E. H., 2016, In : Science. 354, 6308, p. 42-43

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Social Norms
social norm
collective behavior
treaty
biodiversity
7 Citations (Scopus)

Statistical indicators of Arctic sea-ice stability-prospects and limitations

Bathiany, S., van der Bolt, B., Williamson, M. S., Lenton, T. M., Scheffer, M., van Nes, E. H. & Notz, D., 2016, In : Cryosphere. 10, 4, p. 1631-1645

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Open Access
sea ice
autocorrelation
ice
climate
heat capacity
34 Citations (Scopus)

What Do You Mean, 'Tipping Point'?

van Nes, E. H., Shojaei Arani, M., Staal, A., van der Bolt, B., Flores, B. M., Bathiany, S. & Scheffer, M., 2016, In : Trends in Ecology and Evolution. 31, 12, p. 902-904

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

2015
8 Citations (Scopus)

A changing number of alternative states in the boreal biome: Reproducibility risks of replacing remote sensing products.

Xu, C., Holmgren, M., van Nes, E. H., Hirota, M., Stuart Chapin, F. & Scheffer, M., 2015, In : PLoS ONE. 10, 11, 5 p., e0143014.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Open Access
reproducibility
remote sensing
Ecosystem
Remote sensing
moderate resolution imaging spectroradiometer
14 Citations (Scopus)

Advantages of concurrent use of multiple software frameworks in water quality modelling using a database approach

van Gerven, L. P. A., Brederveld, R. J., de Klein, J. J. M., DeAngelis, D. L., Downing, A. S., Faber, M., Gerla, D. J., 't Hoen, J., Janse, J. H., Janssen, A. B. G., Jeuken, M., Kooi, B. W., Kuiper, J. J., Lischke, B., Liu, S., Petzoldt, T., Schep, S. A., Teurlincx, S., Thiange, C., Trolle, D. & 2 othersvan Nes, E. H. & Mooij, W. M., 2015, In : Fundamental and Applied Limnology. 186, 1-2, p. 5-20

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

water quality
software
modeling
OSIRIS
ecosystem
54 Citations (Scopus)

Allowing variance may enlarge the safe operating space for exploited ecosystems

Carpenter, S. R., Brock, W. A., Folke, C., Van Nes, E. H., Scheffer, M. & Polasky, S., 2015, In : Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America. 112, 46, p. 14384-14389

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

ecosystem service
ecosystem
adaptive management
wild population
rangeland
17 Citations (Scopus)

Can we infer plant facilitation from remote sensing? A test across global drylands

Xu, C., Holmgren, M., van Nes, E. H., Maestre, F. T., Soliveres, S., Berdugo, M., Kefi, S., Marquet, P. A., Abades, S. & Scheffer, M., 2015, In : Ecological Applications. 25, 6, p. 1456-1462

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

facilitation
remote sensing
patch size
terrestrial ecosystem
test
43 Citations (Scopus)

Causal feedbacks in climate change

van Nes, E. H., Scheffer, M., Brovkin, V., Lenton, T. M., Ye, H., Deyle, E. & Sugihara, G., 2015, In : Nature Climate Change. 5, p. 445-448

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

greenhouse gas
climate change
last deglaciation
climate
ice core
99 Citations (Scopus)

Generic Indicators of Ecological Resilience: Inferring the Chance of a Critical Transition

Scheffer, M., Carpenter, S., Dakos, V. & van Nes, E. H., 14 Dec 2015, In : Annual Review of Ecology, Evolution, and Systematics. 46, p. 145-167

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

perturbation
time series analysis
environmental change
complement
methodology
12 Citations (Scopus)

How to Break the Cycle of Low Workforce Diversity: A Model for Change

O'Brien, K. R., Scheffer, M. & van Nes, E. H., 2015, In : PLoS ONE. 10, 7, 15 p., e0133208.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Open Access
labor force
Appointments and Schedules
Organizations
Personnel
human resources
4 Citations (Scopus)

Hysteresis in an experimental phytoplankton population

Faassen, E., Veraart, A. J., van Nes, E. H., Dakos, V., Lurling, M. & Scheffer, M., 2015, In : Oikos. 124, 12, p. 1617-1623

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

hysteresis
phytoplankton
ecosystems
Cyanobacteria
cyanobacterium
17 Citations (Scopus)

Local facilitation may cause tipping points on a landscape level preceded by early warning indicators

Xu, C., van Nes, E. H., Holmgren, M., Kefi, S. & Scheffer, M., 2015, In : American Naturalist. 186, 4, p. E81-E90

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

nurse plants
facilitation
woody plants
arid lands
nurse plant
27 Citations (Scopus)

Resilience of Alternative States in Spatially Extended Ecosystems

van de Leemput, I. A., van Nes, E. H. & Scheffer, M., 2015, In : PLoS ONE. 10, 2, e0116859.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Open Access
Ecology
Ecosystems
Restoration
Ecosystem
Hysteresis
23 Citations (Scopus)

Synergistic effects of drought and deforestation on the resilience of the south-eastern Amazon rainforest

Staal, A., Dekkers, S., Hirota Magalhaes, M. & van Nes, E. H., 2015, In : Ecological Complexity. 22, p. 65-75

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Open Access
Amazonia
deforestation
rainforest
savanna
savannas
4 Citations (Scopus)

Temperate forest and open landscapes are distinct alternative states as reflected in canopy height and tree cover

Xu, C., Vergnon, R., Cornelissen, J. H. C., Hantson, S., Holmgren, M., van Nes, E. H. & Scheffer, M., 2015, In : Trends in Ecology and Evolution. 30, 9, p. 501-502

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

temperate forests
temperate forest
canopy
altimetry
woody plant
17 Citations (Scopus)

The Evolution of Functionally Redundant Species; Evidence from Beetles

Scheffer, M., Vergnon, R. O. H., van Nes, E. H., Cuppen, J. G. M., Peeters, E. T. H. M., Leijs, R. & Nilsson, A. N., 2015, In : PLoS ONE. 10, 10, 10 p., e0137974.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Open Access
Beetles
Body Size
Redundancy
body size
Coleoptera
2014
35 Citations (Scopus)

Coupled human and natural system dynamics as key to the sustainability of Lake Victoria’s ecosystem services

Downing, A. S., van Nes, E. H., Balirwa, J. S., Beuving, J., Bwathondi, P. O. J., Chapman, L. J., Cornelissen, I. J. M., Cowx, I. G., Goudswaard, P. C., Hecky, R. E., Janse, J. H., Janssen, A. B. G., Kaufman, L., Kishe-Machumu, M. A., Kolding, J., Ligtvoet, W., Mbabazi, D., Medard, M., Mkumbo, O. C., Mlaponi, E. & 20 othersMunyaho, A. T., Nagelkerke, L. A. J., Ogutu-Ohwayo, R., Ojwang, W. O., Peter, H. K., Schindler, D. E., Seehausen, O., Sharpe, D., Silsbe, G. M., Sitoki, L., Tumwebaze, R., Tweddle, D., van de Wolfshaar, K. E., van Dijk, J. W. M., van Donk, E., van Rijssel, J. C., van Zwieten, P. A. M., Wanink, J., Witte, F. & Mooij, W. M., 2014, In : Ecology and Society. 19, 4, 31.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Open Access
lake ecosystem
ecosystem service
sustainability
fishery
lake
192 Citations (Scopus)

Critical slowing down as early warning for the onset and termination of depression

van de Leemput, I. A., Wichers, M., Cramer, C., Borsboom, P., Kuppens, C., van Nes, E. H., Viechtbauer, W., Giltay, E. J., Derom, C., Jacobs, N., van der Maas, H. L. J., Neale, M. & Scheffer, M., 2014, In : Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America. 111, 1, p. 87-92

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Emotions
Depression
Costs and Cost Analysis
121 Citations (Scopus)

Early Warning Signals of Ecological Transitions: Methods for Spatial Patterns

Kefi, S., Guttal, V., Brock, W. A., Carpenter, S. R., Ellison, A. M., Livina, V. N., Seekell, D. A., Scheffer, M., van Nes, E. H. & Dakos, V., 2014, In : PLoS ONE. 9, 3, 13 p., e92097.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Open Access
spatial data
Ecosystems
Economics
Testing
Information Systems
21 Citations (Scopus)

Serving many at once: How a database approach can create unity in dynamical ecosystem modelling

Mooij, W. M., Brederveld, R. J., de Klein, J. J. M., DeAngelis, D. L., Downing, A. S., Faber, M., Gerla, D. J., Hipsey, M. R., 't Hoen, J., Janse, J. H., Janssen, A. B. G., Jeuken, M., Kooi, B. W., Lischke, B., Petzoldt, T., Postma, L., Schep, S. A., Scholten, H., Teurlincx, S., Thiange, C. & 5 othersTrolle, D., van Dam, A. A., van Gerven, L. P. A., van Nes, E. H. & Kuiper, J. J., 2014, In : Environmental Modelling & Software. 61, p. 266-273

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Open Access
ecosystem modeling
Ecosystems
Lotka-Volterra model
OSIRIS
Ecology
44 Citations (Scopus)

Tipping points in tropical tree cover: linking theory to data

van Nes, E. H., Hirota, M., Holmgren, M. & Scheffer, M., 2014, In : Global Change Biology. 20, 3, p. 1016-1021

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Hysteresis
hysteresis
Climate change
savanna
Feedback
2013
26 Citations (Scopus)

Changing weather conditions and floating plants in temperate drainage ditches

Peeters, E. T. H. M., van Zuidam, B. G., van Zuidam, J. P., van Nes, E. H., Kosten, S., Heuts, P. G. M., Roijackers, R. M. M., Netten, J. J. C. & Scheffer, M., 2013, In : Journal of Applied Ecology. 50, 3, p. 585-593

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

drainage
nutrient
global warming
warming
climate change
88 Citations (Scopus)

Early warning signals also precede non-catastrophic transitions

Kefi, S., Dakos, V., Scheffer, M., van Nes, E. H. & Rietkerk, M., 2013, In : Oikos. 122, 5, p. 641-648

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

ecosystems
perturbation
bifurcation
ecosystem response
ecosystem
70 Citations (Scopus)

Effects of interannual climate variability on tropical tree cover

Holmgren, M., Hirota, M., van Nes, E. H. & Scheffer, M., 2013, In : Nature Climate Change. 3, p. 755-758

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

climate
rainfall
tropics
soil nutrient
ecosystem service