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Research Output 1995 2019

2019
2 Citations (Scopus)

Inferring causation from time series in Earth system sciences

Runge, J., Bathiany, S., Bollt, E., Camps-Valls, G., Coumou, D., Deyle, E., Glymour, C., Kretschmer, M., Mahecha, M. D., Muñoz-Marí, J., van Nes, E. H., Peters, J., Quax, R., Reichstein, M., Scheffer, M., Schölkopf, B., Spirtes, P., Sugihara, G., Sun, J., Zhang, K. & 1 othersZscheischler, J., 14 Jun 2019, In : Nature Communications. 10, 1, 2553.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Open Access
Earth Sciences
Systems science
Causality
Time series
Earth (planet)

Inferring ecosystem states and quantifying their resilience: linking theories to ecological data

Arani, B. M. S., 2019, Wageningen: Wageningen University. 108 p.

Research output: Thesisinternal PhD, WUAcademic

Open Access

Superorganisms or loose collections of species? A unifying theory of community patterns along environmental gradients

Liautaud, K., van Nes, E. H., Barbier, M., Scheffer, M. & Loreau, M., Aug 2019, In : Ecology Letters. 22, 8, p. 1243-1252

Research output: Contribution to journalLetterAcademicpeer-review

environmental gradient
species diversity
ecology
organisms
community organization
1 Citation (Scopus)

Technology driven inequality leads to poverty and resource depletion

Usman Mirza, M., Richter, A., van Nes, E. H. & Scheffer, M., 1 Jun 2019, In : Ecological Economics. 160, p. 215-226 12 p., 18908.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Open Access
resource depletion
poverty
resource
land degradation
Resource depletion
2018
4 Citations (Scopus)

Abrupt Climate Change in an Oscillating World

Bathiany, S., Scheffer, M., Van Nes, E. H., Williamson, M. S. & Lenton, T. M., 1 Dec 2018, In : Scientific Reports. 8, 1, 5040.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Open Access
climate change
ecosystem
climate
Milankovitch cycle
timescale
1 Citation (Scopus)

A global climate niche for giant trees

Scheffer, M., Xu, C., Hantson, S., Holmgren, M., Los, S. O. & van Nes, E. H., Jul 2018, In : Global Change Biology. 24, 7, p. 2875-2883

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Open Access
Biodiversity
Climate change
Ecosystems
Rain
global climate
8 Citations (Scopus)

Climate reddening increases the chance of critical transitions

van der Bolt, B., van Nes, E. H., Bathiany, S., Vollebregt, M. E. & Scheffer, M., 30 May 2018, In : Nature Climate Change. 8, 6, p. 478-484

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

climate
autocorrelation
research focus
coral reef
ice sheet

Corrigendum to “The structuring role of submerged macrophytes in a large subtropical shallow lake: Clear effects on water chemistry and phytoplankton structure community along a vegetated-pelagic gradient” [Limnologica (2018) 142–154]

Finkler Ferreira, T., Crossetti, L. O., Motta Marques, D. M. L., Cardoso, L., Fragoso, C. R. & van Nes, E. H., Jul 2018, In : Limnologica. 71, p. 89

Research output: Contribution to journalComment/Letter to the editorAcademic

9 Citations (Scopus)

Fire forbids fifty-fifty forest

Van Nes, E. H., Staal, A., Hantson, S., Holmgren, M., Pueyo, S., Bernardi, R. E., Flores, B. M., Xu, C. & Scheffer, M., 1 Jan 2018, In : PLoS ONE. 13, 1, e0191027.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Open Access
Fires
Tropics
Forests
wildfires
tree growth
13 Citations (Scopus)

Forest-rainfall cascades buffer against drought across the Amazon

Staal, A., Tuinenburg, O. A., Bosmans, J. H. C., Holmgren, M., van Nes, E. H., Scheffer, M., Zemp, D. C. & Dekker, S. C., 28 May 2018, In : Nature Climate Change. 8, 6, p. 539-543

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

drought
rainfall
transpiration
basin
water
16 Citations (Scopus)

Quantifying resilience of humans and other animals

Scheffer, M., Bolhuis, J. E., Borsboom, D., Buchman, T. G., Gijzel, S. M. W., Goulson, D., Kammenga, J. E., Kemp, B., van de Leemput, I. A., Levin, S., Martin, C. M., Melis, R. J. F., van Nes, E. H., Romero, L. M. & Olde Rikkert, M. G. M., 20 Nov 2018, In : Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America. 115, 47, p. 11883-11890

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Open Access
animal
adaptive management
physiology
livestock
time series
2 Citations (Scopus)

Remotely sensed canopy height reveals three pantropical ecosystem states: reply

Staal, A., Hantson, S., Holmgren, M., van Nes, E. H., Scheffer, M. & Xu, C., 1 Jan 2018, In : Ecology. 99, 1, p. 235-237

Research output: Contribution to journalComment/Letter to the editorAcademic

Resilience of tropical forest and savanna: bridging theory and observation

Staal, A., 2018, Wageningen: Wageningen University. 221 p.

Research output: Thesisinternal PhD, WUAcademic

Open Access
8 Citations (Scopus)

Resilience of tropical tree cover: The roles of climate, fire, and herbivory

Staal, A., van Nes, E. H., Hantson, S., Holmgren, M., Dekker, S. C., Pueyo, S., Xu, C. & Scheffer, M., Nov 2018, In : Global Change Biology. 24, 11, p. 5096-5109

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Open Access
herbivory
Fires
Rain
climate
herbivore
1 Citation (Scopus)

Seeing a global web of connected systems

Scheffer, M. & Van Nes, E. H., 21 Dec 2018, In : Science. 362, 6421, 1 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalComment/Letter to the editorAcademic

13 Citations (Scopus)

Slow Recovery from Local Disturbances as an Indicator for Loss of Ecosystem Resilience

van de Leemput, I. A., Dakos, V., Scheffer, M. & van Nes, E. H., Jan 2018, In : Ecosystems. 21, 1, p. 141-152

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Open Access
ecosystem resilience
Ecosystems
perturbation
disturbance
Recovery
3 Citations (Scopus)

The structuring role of submerged macrophytes in a large subtropical shallow lake: Clear effects on water chemistry and phytoplankton structure community along a vegetated-pelagic gradient

Finkler Ferreira, T., Crossetti, L. O., Motta Marques, D. M. L., Cardoso, L., Fragoso, C. R. & van Nes, E. H., Mar 2018, In : Limnologica. 69, p. 142-154

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

hydrochemistry
macrophytes
water chemistry
community structure
phytoplankton
9 Citations (Scopus)

Toward a unifying theory of biodiversity

Scheffer, M., van Nes, E. H. & Vergnon, R. O. H., 23 Jan 2018, In : Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America. 115, 4, p. 639-641

Research output: Contribution to journalComment/Letter to the editorAcademic

2017
267 Citations (Scopus)

Coral reefs in the Anthropocene

Hughes, T. P., Barnes, M. L., Bellwood, D. R., Cinner, J. E., Cumming, G. S., Jackson, J. B. C., Kleypas, J., Van De Leemput, I. A., Lough, J. M., Morrison, T. H., Palumbi, S. R., Van Nes, E. H. & Scheffer, M., 2017, In : Nature. 546, 7656, p. 82-90

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

coral reef
reef
ecosystem service
navigation
transform
39 Citations (Scopus)

Creating a Safe Operating Space for Wetlands in a Changing Climate

Green, A. J., Alcorlo, P., Peeters, E. T. H. M., Morris, E. P., Espinar, J. L., Bravo, M., Bustamante, J., Diaz-Delgado, R., Koelmans, A. A., Mateo, R., Mooij, W. M., Rodriguez-Rodriguez, M., van Nes, E. H. & Scheffer, M., 2017, In : Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment. 15, 2, p. 99-107

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

wetlands
wetland
climate change
climate
pollution load
25 Citations (Scopus)

Floodplains as an Achilles' heel of Amazonian forest resilience

Flores, B. M., Holmgren Urba, M., Xu, C., van Nes, E. H., Conte Jakovac, C., Mesquita, R. C. G. & Scheffer, M., 2017, In : Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America. 114, 17, p. 4442-4446

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

floodplain
wildfire
peatland
basin
soil fertility
15 Citations (Scopus)

Inequality in nature and society

Scheffer, M., van Bavel, B., van de Leemput, I. A. & van Nes, E. H., 2017, In : Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America. 114, 50, p. 13154-13157

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Open Access
upscaling
natural enemy
resource
society
loss
6 Citations (Scopus)

Rare, Intense, Big fires dominate the global tropics under drier conditions

Hantson, S., Scheffer, M., Pueyo, S., Xu, C., Lasslop, G., van Nes, E. H., Holmgren Urba, M. & Mendelsohn, J., 30 Oct 2017, In : Scientific Reports. 7, 5 p., 14374.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Open Access
wildfire
ecosystem structure
arid region
global warming
tropics

Reply to Schöngart et al. Forest resilience variation across Amazonian floodplains

Flores, B. M., Holmgren Urba, M., Xu, C., van Nes, E. H., Jakovac, C. C., Mesquita, R. C. G. & Scheffer, M., 10 Oct 2017, In : Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America. 114, 41, p. E8552-E8554

Research output: Contribution to journalComment/Letter to the editorAcademic

62 Citations (Scopus)
Open Access
Biofouling
biofouling
Biofilms
ocean
modeling
2016
26 Citations (Scopus)

Bistability, Spatial Interaction, and the Distribution of Tropical Forests and Savannas

Staal, A., Dekker, S. C., Xu, C. & van Nes, E. H., 2016, In : Ecosystems. 19, 6, p. 1080-1091

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Open Access
savanna
tropical forests
tropical forest
savannas
Rain

Ecological resilience mechanisms in large Dutch aquatic ecosystems: Lessons from the past to improve management in the future

de Lange, H. J., Veraart, H. J., Reijers, V., Backx, J., Baptist, M. J., Kosten, S., Noordhuis, R., Platteeuw, M. & van Nes, E. H., 2016.

Research output: Contribution to conferenceAbstractAcademic

Ecologische kantelpunten in de Nederlandse grote wateren: Discussie memo over recente inzichten, voorbeelden en onderzoeksvragen

Veraart, J. A., Reijers, V., de Lange, H. J., van Nes, E. H., Kosten, S., Baptist, M. J., Noordhuis, R. & Platteeuw, M., Mar 2016, 33 p.

Research output: Working paperProfessional

Open Access
6 Citations (Scopus)

Effects of food web complexity on top-down control in tropical lakes

Pujoni, D. G. F., Maia-Barbosa, P. M., Barbosa, F. A. R., Fragoso, C. R. & van Nes, E. H., 24 Jan 2016, In : Ecological Modelling. 320, p. 358-365

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

omnivory
top-down control
food web
trophic level
lake
2 Citations (Scopus)

Erratum to: Multiple feedbacks and the prevalence of alternate stable states on coral reefs

van de Leemput, I. A., Hughes, T. P., van Nes, E. H. & Scheffer, M., 2016, In : Coral Reefs. 35, 3, p. 867-867

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademic

25 Citations (Scopus)

Multiple feedbacks and the prevalence of alternate stable states on coral reefs

van de Leemput, I. A., Hughes, T. P., van Nes, E. H. & Scheffer, M., 2016, In : Coral Reefs. 35, 3, p. 857-865

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

coral reefs
coral reef
corals
reefs
coral
1 Citation (Scopus)
Open Access
insect
insects
blueberries
Podisus maculiventris
simulation
25 Citations (Scopus)

Remotely sensed canopy height reveals three pantropical ecosystem states

Xu, C., Hantson, S., Holmgren, M., Van Nes, E. H., Staal, A. & Scheffer, M., 2016, In : Ecology. 97, 9, p. 2518-2521

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

savanna
savannas
canopy
ecosystems
ecosystem
45 Citations (Scopus)

Remotely sensed resilience of tropical forests

Verbesselt, J., Umlauf, N., Hirota, M., Holmgren, M., van Nes, E. H., Herold, M., Zeileis, A. & Scheffer, M., 2016, In : Nature Climate Change. 6, p. 1028-1031

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

tropical forest
resilience
drought
autocorrelation
heat
Open Access
28 Citations (Scopus)

Slowing down of recovery as generic risk marker for acute severity transitions in chronic diseases

Olde Rikkert, M. G. M., Dakos, V., Buchman, T., de Boer, R., Glass, L., Cramer, A. O. J., Levin, S., van Nes, E. H., Sugihara, G., Ferrari, M. D., Tolner, E. A. & van de Leemput, I. A., 2016, In : Critical Care Medicine. 44, 3, p. 601-606

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Chronic Disease
Medicine
Critical Care
Systems Biology
Disease Management
103 Citations (Scopus)

Social norms as solutions

Nyborg, K., Anderies, J. M., Dannenberg, A., Lindahl, T., Schill, C., Schluter, M., Adger, W. N., Arrow, K. J., Barrett, S., Scheffer, M. & van Nes, E. H., 2016, In : Science. 354, 6308, p. 42-43

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Social Norms
social norm
collective behavior
treaty
biodiversity
7 Citations (Scopus)

Statistical indicators of Arctic sea-ice stability-prospects and limitations

Bathiany, S., van der Bolt, B., Williamson, M. S., Lenton, T. M., Scheffer, M., van Nes, E. H. & Notz, D., 2016, In : Cryosphere. 10, 4, p. 1631-1645

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Open Access
sea ice
autocorrelation
ice
climate
heat capacity
34 Citations (Scopus)

What Do You Mean, 'Tipping Point'?

van Nes, E. H., Shojaei Arani, M., Staal, A., van der Bolt, B., Flores, B. M., Bathiany, S. & Scheffer, M., 2016, In : Trends in Ecology and Evolution. 31, 12, p. 902-904

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

2015
8 Citations (Scopus)

A changing number of alternative states in the boreal biome: Reproducibility risks of replacing remote sensing products.

Xu, C., Holmgren, M., van Nes, E. H., Hirota, M., Stuart Chapin, F. & Scheffer, M., 2015, In : PLoS ONE. 10, 11, 5 p., e0143014.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Open Access
reproducibility
remote sensing
Ecosystem
Remote sensing
moderate resolution imaging spectroradiometer
14 Citations (Scopus)

Advantages of concurrent use of multiple software frameworks in water quality modelling using a database approach

van Gerven, L. P. A., Brederveld, R. J., de Klein, J. J. M., DeAngelis, D. L., Downing, A. S., Faber, M., Gerla, D. J., 't Hoen, J., Janse, J. H., Janssen, A. B. G., Jeuken, M., Kooi, B. W., Kuiper, J. J., Lischke, B., Liu, S., Petzoldt, T., Schep, S. A., Teurlincx, S., Thiange, C., Trolle, D. & 2 othersvan Nes, E. H. & Mooij, W. M., 2015, In : Fundamental and Applied Limnology. 186, 1-2, p. 5-20

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

water quality
software
modeling
OSIRIS
ecosystem
54 Citations (Scopus)

Allowing variance may enlarge the safe operating space for exploited ecosystems

Carpenter, S. R., Brock, W. A., Folke, C., Van Nes, E. H., Scheffer, M. & Polasky, S., 2015, In : Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America. 112, 46, p. 14384-14389

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

ecosystem service
ecosystem
adaptive management
wild population
rangeland
17 Citations (Scopus)

Can we infer plant facilitation from remote sensing? A test across global drylands

Xu, C., Holmgren, M., van Nes, E. H., Maestre, F. T., Soliveres, S., Berdugo, M., Kefi, S., Marquet, P. A., Abades, S. & Scheffer, M., 2015, In : Ecological Applications. 25, 6, p. 1456-1462

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

facilitation
remote sensing
patch size
terrestrial ecosystem
test
43 Citations (Scopus)

Causal feedbacks in climate change

van Nes, E. H., Scheffer, M., Brovkin, V., Lenton, T. M., Ye, H., Deyle, E. & Sugihara, G., 2015, In : Nature Climate Change. 5, p. 445-448

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

greenhouse gas
climate change
last deglaciation
climate
ice core
112 Citations (Scopus)

Creating a safe operating space for iconic ecosystems

Scheffer, M., Barrett, S., Carpenter, S. R., Folke, C., Green, A. J., Holmgren, M., Hughes, T. P., Kosten, S., van de Leemput, I. A., Nepstad, D. C., van Nes, E. H., Peeters, E. T. H. M. & Walker, B., 2015, In : Science. 347, 6228, p. 1317-1319

Research output: Contribution to journalEditorialAcademicpeer-review

World Heritage Site
crisis management
climate change
ecosystem response
ecosystem
98 Citations (Scopus)

Generic Indicators of Ecological Resilience: Inferring the Chance of a Critical Transition

Scheffer, M., Carpenter, S., Dakos, V. & van Nes, E. H., 14 Dec 2015, In : Annual Review of Ecology, Evolution, and Systematics. 46, p. 145-167

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

perturbation
time series analysis
environmental change
complement
methodology
12 Citations (Scopus)

How to Break the Cycle of Low Workforce Diversity: A Model for Change

O'Brien, K. R., Scheffer, M. & van Nes, E. H., 2015, In : PLoS ONE. 10, 7, 15 p., e0133208.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Open Access
labor force
Appointments and Schedules
Organizations
Personnel
human resources
4 Citations (Scopus)

Hysteresis in an experimental phytoplankton population

Faassen, E., Veraart, A. J., van Nes, E. H., Dakos, V., Lurling, M. & Scheffer, M., 2015, In : Oikos. 124, 12, p. 1617-1623

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

hysteresis
phytoplankton
ecosystems
Cyanobacteria
cyanobacterium
17 Citations (Scopus)

Local facilitation may cause tipping points on a landscape level preceded by early warning indicators

Xu, C., van Nes, E. H., Holmgren, M., Kefi, S. & Scheffer, M., 2015, In : American Naturalist. 186, 4, p. E81-E90

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

nurse plants
facilitation
woody plants
arid lands
nurse plant
143 Citations (Scopus)

Resilience indicators: Prospects and limitations for early warnings of regime shifts

Dakos, V., Carpenter, S. R., van Nes, E. H. & Scheffer, M., 2015, In : Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B. Biological sciences. 370, 1659, p. 1-10

Research output: Contribution to journalReview articleAcademicpeer-review

Open Access
Ecosystems
Ecosystem
ecosystems
Reefs
Lakes